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WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Sell5.6·$74.35
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is a high-quality hotel franchise operator with 38% return on equity, 176% free cash flow conversion, and 23% analyst-projected upside, but 3 consecutive earnings misses, heavy financial leverage, and an asymmetry ratio below the minimum entry threshold make this a hold-not-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Cash Machine→Stable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • Heavy Leverage Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $74.35: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$74.35+15.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 6 Lodging
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.88%
IncomeYield2.31%(5y avg 1.70%)Payout62.27%
Stop $69.65Analyst target $86.05(−10% haircut)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst consensus$95.61+28.6%18 analysts
$86.05Analyst target
$74.35price
$95.61mean
$115

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $74.35: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 17, 2027111d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.2
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn14.0%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.69
Dividend2.31%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.43bearish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.3
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 111d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $70.33Resistance $79.81

Price Targets

$70
$86
A.Upside+15.7%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-17 (111d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $74.35: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $69.65. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Analyst target: $86.05 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $69.65. Stop-loss: $69.65.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.2 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

Related stocks: IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation) · BWMX (Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. ) · RSI (Rush Street Interactive, Inc.)
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