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APPNAppian CorporationSell5.9·$24.27-0.65%
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Appian Corporation (APPN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Appian provides a process automation platform used by large enterprises and government agencies for 25+ years, generating $726.9M in 2025 revenue. Approximately 80% of subscriptions revenue comes from financial services, government, life sciences, insurance, and manufacturing... Read more

$24.27+12.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#19 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.92%
Stop $22.59Target $27.21(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$26.20+8.0%5 analysts
$27.21our TP
$24.27price
$26.20mean
$22
$37

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Appian Corporation

About Appian Corporation

Appian's process automation platform generated $726.9 million in revenue in 2025, up from $617.0 million in 2024 and $545.4 million in 2023. U.S. federal government agencies represented 25.3% of total revenue in 2025, rising from 21.3% in 2023, and approximately 38% of total revenue came from customers outside the United States. The number of customers paying over $1 million in annual recurring revenue grew from 115 at year-end 2024 to 140 at year-end 2025. As of December 31, 2025, Appian had 2,149 employees globally, with 1,383 based in the United States.

Appian sells its platform almost exclusively as subscriptions, targeting organizations with over 2,000 employees and $2 billion in annual revenue. Key industry verticals — financial services, government, life sciences, insurance, and manufacturing — collectively accounted for approximately 80% of subscriptions revenue in 2025. The go-to-market combines direct enterprise sales with a partner channel including Accenture, Capgemini, Deloitte, Indra Group, KPMG, and PwC. Applications built on the platform can only be used with an active Appian subscription, creating switching costs that support retention. Cloud deployments run on AWS, which the company relies upon exclusively to operate its cloud offering. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of total revenue in 2025. Appian held 28 granted patents at December 31, 2025, with none expiring before 2034, and the platform operates across 16 countries, 39 regions, and 123 availability zones.

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Appian's U.S. federal government revenue (25.3% of total revenue in 2025) exposes the company to appropriations cycle risk: the United States has previously experienced lapses in federal appropriations, and changes in administration priorities may affect agency budgets and technology spending. Executive orders may impose new compliance requirements after contract signing. Separately, the company's cloud offering runs exclusively on AWS; any disruption to AWS services could adversely affect the company's ability to serve cloud subscribers and materially harm business results.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Appian Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1221.5
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA74.4
Profit Mgn0.1%
ROE
Rev Growth21.5%
Beta0.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$13-48.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. federal government agencies25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'revenue from U.S. federal government agencies represented 25.3%, 23.9%, and 21.3% of our total revenue, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.5
Bollinger
3.1
Support Resistance
3.8
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.63Resistance $27.77

Price Targets

$23
$27
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APPN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $22.59. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.21 (+12.0% upside). Prior stop was $22.59. Stop-loss: $22.59.

What are the risks of investing in APPN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is APPN overvalued or undervalued?

Appian Corporation trades at a P/E of 1221.5 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APPN?

13 analysts cover APPN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Appian Corporation do?Appian provides a process automation platform used by large enterprises and government agencies for 25+ years,...

Appian provides a process automation platform used by large enterprises and government agencies for 25+ years, generating $726.9M in 2025 revenue. Approximately 80% of subscriptions revenue comes from financial services, government, life sciences, insurance, and manufacturing verticals; U.S. federal government agencies alone represented 25.3% of total 2025 revenue.

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