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ALGAlamo Group, Inc.Sell5.0·$153.74-0.43%
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Alamo Group, Inc. (ALG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $153.74: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Alamo Group manufactures industrial and vegetation management equipment through two divisions—Industrial Equipment (vacuum trucks, street sweepers, excavators, snow removal) and Vegetation Management (tractor mowers, forestry equipment)—operating 27 manufacturing facilities... Read more

$153.74+18.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#9 of 13 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.10%
IncomeYield0.83%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout14.83%sustainable
Stop $144.98Target $182.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$209.80+36.5%5 analysts
$182.53our TP
$153.74price
$209.80mean
$225

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $153.74: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — Alamo Group, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 19, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Richard H. Raborn, EVP of the Vegetation Management Division, retiring May 29, 2026. Separation agreement includes base salary continuation of $536,000 over 12 months. Departure not due to any disagreement with company operations, financial reporting, or accounting practices. No successor named.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth6.7%
Beta1.11
Dividend0.83%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.54bearish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomergovernmental entities and related contractors
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our revenues is derived from sales to federal, state, provincial and local governmental entities and related contractors'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Richard H. Raborn, EVP of the Vegetation Management Division, retiring May 29, 2026. Separation agreement includes base salary continuation of $536,000 over 12 months. Departure not due to any disagreement with company operations, financial reporting, or accounting practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.3
Revenue Growth
4.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
2.6
52w Position
3.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 83.0%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $145.76Resistance $156.54

Price Targets

$145
$183
A.Upside+18.7%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts8
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$210

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $153.74: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $144.98. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $182.53 (+18.7% upside). Prior stop was $144.98. Stop-loss: $144.98.

What are the risks of investing in ALG?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Weak growth.

Is ALG overvalued or undervalued?

Alamo Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALG?

8 analysts cover ALG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $210.

What does Alamo Group, Inc. do?Alamo Group manufactures industrial and vegetation management equipment through two divisions—Industrial Equipment...

Alamo Group manufactures industrial and vegetation management equipment through two divisions—Industrial Equipment (vacuum trucks, street sweepers, excavators, snow removal) and Vegetation Management (tractor mowers, forestry equipment)—operating 27 manufacturing facilities across North America, Europe, Brazil, and Australia. Products are sold to governmental agencies, independent dealers, and municipalities, with approximately 3,800 employees.

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