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Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: security solutions.

Akamai provides security, cloud computing, and content delivery solutions via a globally distributed network with 4,300+ edge points-of-presence in 130+ countries and ~1,200 network partners. Revenue is generated from enterprise customers across three core offerings: security... Read more

$104.27+11.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#68 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $97.05Target $115.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$112.28+7.7%23 analysts
$115.81our TP
$104.27price
$112.28mean
$72
$134

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: security solutions. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: security solutions
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$15.2B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.99neutral
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$65-37.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductsecurity solutions
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our security solutions currently generate the largest portion of our revenue.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-17Item 5.02LOW
    On February 11, 2026, the Compensation Committee approved 2026 bonus and equity programs for CEO F. Thomson Leighton, CFO Edward McGowan, COO Adam Karon, and two other named executive officers. Payments to be issued in vested stock under the 2013 Plan. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.4
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $88.50Resistance $118.17

Price Targets

$97
$116
A.Upside+11.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AKAM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: security solutions. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $97.05. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AKAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $115.81 (+11.0% upside). Prior stop was $97.05. Stop-loss: $97.05.

What are the risks of investing in AKAM?

Concentration risk — Product: security solutions; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is AKAM overvalued or undervalued?

Akamai Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AKAM?

33 analysts cover AKAM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $112.

What does Akamai Technologies, Inc. do?Akamai provides security, cloud computing, and content delivery solutions via a globally distributed network with...

Akamai provides security, cloud computing, and content delivery solutions via a globally distributed network with 4,300+ edge points-of-presence in 130+ countries and ~1,200 network partners. Revenue is generated from enterprise customers across three core offerings: security (the largest revenue contributor), cloud computing (fastest-growing), and delivery.

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