AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the AGCO stock price target?

Entry $113.38, take-profit $121.17 (+6.6% upside). Target $121.17 (+1.3%), stop $105.20 (−13.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in AGCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Target reached (-6.7% upside); Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk.

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

$119.61+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Entry $113.38(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $105.20Target $121.17(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1

Analyst target$128.29+7.3%14 analysts

$121.17our TP

$119.61price

$128.29mean

$102

$152

Wait for pullback to $113.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $119.61. Engine's entry $113.38 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4

P/E (Fwd)14.8

Mkt Cap$8.8B

EV/EBITDA10.7

Profit Mgn7.2%

ROE16.7%

Rev Growth1.1%

Beta1.16

Dividend0.99%

Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.13bearish

IV60%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
Exhibit No. | | Des [... truncated]
SEC filing →
2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.815%1.02

Quality4.615%0.69

Growth2.815%0.42

Momentum4.710%0.47

Sentiment5.410%0.54

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.810%0.58

Technical Setup4.85%0.24

Risk Profile5.45%0.27

Catalyst8.05%0.40

Overall (Σ contributions)5.13

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth

2.8

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

47 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $112.91Resistance $123.64

Price Targets

$105

$113

$121

A.Upside+1.3%

A.R:R-1.0:1

Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AGCO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $113.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $119.61. Engine's entry $113.38 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $121.17 (+1.3%), stop $105.20 (−13.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $121.17 (+6.6% upside). Target $121.17 (+1.3%), stop $105.20 (−13.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $105.20.

What are the risks of investing in AGCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is AGCO overvalued or undervalued?

AGCO Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AGCO?

21 analysts cover AGCO with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $128.

What does AGCO Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to...

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.