Skip to main content
AGCOAGCO CorporationSell4.8·$107.84
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AGCO has delivered four consecutive earnings beats with an average surprise of 41% and trades at an attractively valued forward P/E of 13.9x, but below-average business quality, a stock sitting near its near-term resistance target, and a put/call ratio of 2.07 signal that institutional sentiment is more cautious than the earnings track record alone would imply.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Average Business Quality→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Attractive Valuation For Sector→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.84: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

$107.84+4.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#17 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield5.96%
IncomeYield1.17%(5y avg 0.90%)Payout16.18%sustainable
Stop $100.29Analyst target $112.56(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$125.07+16.0%15 analysts
$112.56Analyst target
$107.84price
$125.07mean
$97
$151

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.84: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30

Recent Developments — AGCO Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 5, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On October 5, 2026, AGCO Corporation (the "Company") announced a restructuring of its executive leadership that simplifies the organization, strengthens accountability and reduces the team by one member.

Generated 2026-10-30T11:27:55Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth-1.0%
Beta1.07
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.90bearish
IV46%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On October 5, 2026, AGCO Corporation (the "Company") announced a restructuring of its executive leadership that simplifies the organization, strengthens accountability and reduces the team by one member.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On August 3, 2026, AGCO Corporation (the "Company") announced a series of executive leadership changes effective August 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
1.1
Roa
2.3
Operating Margin
2.3
Net Margin
2.6
Roe
3.9
Moat
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Fcf Quality
6.2
No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.76%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $98.68Resistance $118.64

Price Targets

$100
$113
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 0.76%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.84: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $100.29. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGCO stock price target?

Analyst target: $112.56 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $100.29. Stop-loss: $100.29.

What are the risks of investing in AGCO?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is AGCO overvalued or undervalued?

AGCO Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGCO?

23 analysts cover AGCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $125.

What does AGCO Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to...

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

Related stocks: BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · PCAR (PACCAR Inc.) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG)
Home › Stocks › AGCO

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga1d agoCONCERNEarnings
Investing.com Australia93d agoEarnings
TipRanks93d agoEarnings
StockStory93d agoEarnings
Thelegaladvocate.com156d ago
The Globe and Mail156d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat156d agoEarnings
GuruFocus100d ago
The Globe and Mail107d agoAnalyst
Investing.com South Africa114d ago
TradingView114d ago
Marketscreener.com114d ago
Marketscreener.com114d ago
TradingView114d ago
DonanımHaber114d ago
GuruFocus149d ago
TradingView121d ago
Finviz122d ago
TradingView122d ago
Pluang122d agoProduct
Loading more...