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AGCOAGCO CorporationHold5.6·$113.50+0.90%
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AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

$113.50+4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#5 of 13 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.54%
IncomeYield1.07%(5y avg 0.91%)Payout11.19%sustainable
Stop $105.60Target $119.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$128.00+12.8%14 analysts
$119.02our TP
$113.50price
$128.00mean
$105
$152

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.8
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn7.4%
ROE17.5%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.08
Dividend1.07%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.07bearish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$150+32.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $108.01Resistance $121.45

Price Targets

$106
$119
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $119.02 (+4.9%), stop $105.60 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.02 (+4.8% upside). Target $119.02 (+4.9%), stop $105.60 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $105.60.

What are the risks of investing in AGCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is AGCO overvalued or undervalued?

AGCO Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AGCO?

21 analysts cover AGCO with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $128.

What does AGCO Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to...

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

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