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DDominion Energy, Inc.Hold5.4·$65.94+0.64%
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Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Dominion Energy is a regulated electric utility serving approximately 4.1 million customers in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, with ~30.7 GW of generation capacity. About 95% of earnings come from state-regulated utility operations; Virginia Power accounts for 80%... Read more

$65.94+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-17.26%
IncomeYield4.08%(5y avg 4.45%)Payout78.76%
Stop $63.11Target $66.92(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$69.25+5.0%12 analysts
$66.92our TP
$65.94price
$69.25mean
$64
$76

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$57.6B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn16.9%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta0.64
Dividend4.08%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicVirginia jurisdictional customers80%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 80% of revenue comes from serving Virginia jurisdictional customers'
  • MEDIUMCustomerdata centers28%
    10-K Item 1: 'Data centers represent 28% and 26% of Virginia Power's electricity sales for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.10Resistance $68.29

Price Targets

$63
$67
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is D stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $66.92 (+1.5%), stop $63.11 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the D stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.92 (+1.6% upside). Target $66.92 (+1.5%), stop $63.11 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $63.11.

What are the risks of investing in D?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

Is D overvalued or undervalued?

Dominion Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about D?

23 analysts cover D with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Dominion Energy, Inc. do?Dominion Energy is a regulated electric utility serving approximately 4.1 million customers in Virginia, North...

Dominion Energy is a regulated electric utility serving approximately 4.1 million customers in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, with ~30.7 GW of generation capacity. About 95% of earnings come from state-regulated utility operations; Virginia Power accounts for 80% of Dominion Energy Virginia's revenue from Virginia jurisdictional customers. Data centers represented 28% of Virginia Power's electricity sales in 2025.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia)
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