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ACVAACV Auctions Inc.Sell6.0·$6.96-4.60%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ACV Auctions shows a recovering momentum-continuation setup with a solidly positive earnings surprise trend, but quality sits below the exit threshold, the reward-to-risk ratio failed its gate, and extreme put/call positioning signals heavy options hedging against the shares.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Exit SignalStable
  • Mixed Earnings Thin MarginsStable
  • Momentum Continuation RecoveringStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ACV Auctions Inc. (ACVA) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.96: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality.

We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale vehicle transactions and data services that offer transparent and accurate vehicle information to our customers. Our marketplace platform leverages data... Read more

$6.96+15.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 17 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield0.28%
Stop $6.53Target $8.13(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$9.34+34.2%12 analysts
$8.13our TP
$6.96price
$9.34mean
$6
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.96: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA-38.8
Profit Mgn-8.0%
ROE-14.3%
Rev Growth11.8%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C6.50bearish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
2.8
Bollinger
3.2
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.58Resistance $7.59

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+16.8%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.96: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $6.53. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.13 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $6.53. Stop-loss: $6.53.

What are the risks of investing in ACVA?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is ACVA overvalued or undervalued?

ACV Auctions Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACVA?

19 analysts cover ACVA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $9.

What does ACV Auctions Inc. do?We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale...

We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale vehicle transactions and data services that offer transparent and accurate vehicle information to our customers. Our marketplace platform leverages data insights and technology to power our digital marketplace and data services, enabling our dealers and commercial partners to buy, sell, and value vehicles with confidence and efficiency.

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