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ACVAACV Auctions Inc.Sell5.0·$10.50
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ACV Auctions shows a recovering momentum-continuation setup with a solidly positive earnings surprise trend, but quality sits below the exit threshold, the reward-to-risk ratio failed its gate, and extreme put/call positioning signals heavy options hedging against the shares.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Exit Signal→Stable
  • Mixed Earnings Thin Margins→Stable
  • Momentum Continuation Recovering→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ACV Auctions Inc. (ACVA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.50: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality.

We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale vehicle transactions and data services that offer transparent and accurate vehicle information to our customers. Our marketplace platform leverages data... Read more

$10.50-27.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#11 of 15 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.05%
Stop $10.44Analyst target $7.65(reached)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst consensus$9.00-14.3%3 analysts
$10.50price
$9.00mean
$6

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.50: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — ACV Auctions Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 19, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.01: Delaware | | 001-40256 | | 47-2415221 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.
  • 8K Oct 19, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Delaware | | 001-40256 | | 47-2415221 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:50Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-27.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)33.9
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-62.3
Profit Mgn-7.9%
ROE-15.1%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta1.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-19Item 3.01LOW
    Delaware | | 001-40256 | | 47-2415221 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-10-19Item 5.01MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 001-40256 | | 47-2415221 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-10-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 001-40256 | | 47-2415221 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Departure of Chief Financial Officer On August 10, 2026, ACV Auctions Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Erm
1.0
Estimates down -30.6% (30d)
Low model confidence on this dimension (25%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.6
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Price Target
3.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst targetEstimates falling as sentiment proxy (-30.6%)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
6.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.41Resistance $10.51

Price Targets

A.Upside-27.1%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-27.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ACVA.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.50: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.44. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACVA stock price target?

Analyst target $7.65 reached (−27.1% from $10.50); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $10.44. Stop-loss: $10.44.

What are the risks of investing in ACVA?

Target reached (-27.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is ACVA overvalued or undervalued?

ACV Auctions Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACVA?

15 analysts cover ACVA with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $9.

What does ACV Auctions Inc. do?We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale...

We provide a highly efficient and vibrant marketplace platform ("marketplace platform" or "marketplace") for wholesale vehicle transactions and data services that offer transparent and accurate vehicle information to our customers. Our marketplace platform leverages data insights and technology to power our digital marketplace and data services, enabling our dealers and commercial partners to buy, sell, and value vehicles with confidence and efficiency.

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