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ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.Hold5.7·$47.77
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Enact Holdings is a high-quality specialty insurance franchise with exceptional margins and a consistent earnings beat record, but with only 1.8% headroom to near-term resistance, unfavorable risk/reward geometry, and 16% short interest, the current entry offers limited return potential.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Short Interest Structural Overhang↓Deteriorating
  • High Quality Margins Rule Of 40→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enact Holdings, Inc. (ACT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Enact Holdings underwrites private mortgage insurance for low-down-payment residential loans across all 50 U.S. states, generating new insurance written of $51.5 billion and net income of $674 million in 2025. Revenue comes from monthly, single, and annual premiums on insured... Read more

$47.77-10.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 11 Insurance - Specialty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.94%
IncomeYield2.01%(5y avg 1.71%)Payout18.35%sustainable
Stop $45.39Analyst target $42.98(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$49.40+3.4%5 analysts
$47.77price
$49.40mean
$44
$53

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Enact Holdings, Inc.

About Enact Holdings, Inc.

Enact Holdings generated $51.5 billion in new insurance written in 2025, up from $51.0 billion in 2024, while reporting net income of $674 million and adjusted operating income of $688 million. Enact writes private mortgage insurance through Enact Mortgage Insurance Corporation (EMICO), an approved insurer under both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac PMIERs, covering all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The company also operates a Bermuda-based reinsurance subsidiary, Enact Re, into which $500 million was contributed in 2023 to reinsure EMICO's in-force portfolio under quota share agreements.

Enact earns premium revenue from primary mortgage insurance — paid monthly, single, annually, or split — on low-down-payment loans where the principal exceeds 80% of home value. Coverage percentages typically range from 6% to 35% per policy, with overall risk across all policies averaging approximately 25% of primary insurance in-force. The company served approximately 1,600 customers in 2025; the largest customer accounted for 22% of new insurance written and 12% of total revenues, while the top five customers combined generated 33% of NIW in 2025, with no other single customer exceeding 10% of revenues. Enact competes against five other active private mortgage insurers — Arch Capital Group, Essent Group, MGIC Investment Corporation, NMI Holdings, and Radian Group — as well as the FHA, which held a 35% share of the mortgage insurance market for the first three quarters of 2025, and the VA at 26%.

Show full overview

Enact's GSE eligibility is governed by PMIERs, which requires EMICO's Available Assets to meet or exceed Minimum Required Assets derived from risk-in-force tables. The GSEs — operating under FHFA conservatorship — may amend PMIERs at their discretion and require prior approval for new products and inter-company agreements. EMICO must maintain an RIF-to-statutory-capital ratio at or below 18:1, a ceiling the GSEs reserve the right to enforce by revoking PMIERs credit for reinsurance transactions. Freddie Mac has imposed additional conditions on any option to commute reinsurance arrangements. A single adverse PMIERs amendment could prohibit Enact from writing new insurance on GSE-eligible loans, the source of substantially all new business volume.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

From Enact Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.1
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn54.5%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.47
Dividend2.01%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest customer12%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer accounted for 22% of total NIW and 12% of our total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop five customers33%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top five customers generated 33% of our NIW in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEINSIDER 1.46%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.13Resistance $48.67

Price Targets

A.Upside-10.0%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 1.46%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $42.98 reached (−10.0%), stop $45.39 (−5.2%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACT stock price target?

Analyst target $42.98 reached (−10.0% from $47.77); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $42.98 reached (−10.0%), stop $45.39 (−5.2%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $45.39.

What are the risks of investing in ACT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is ACT overvalued or undervalued?

Enact Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACT?

11 analysts cover ACT with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Enact Holdings, Inc. do?Enact Holdings underwrites private mortgage insurance for low-down-payment residential loans across all 50 U.S. states,...

Enact Holdings underwrites private mortgage insurance for low-down-payment residential loans across all 50 U.S. states, generating new insurance written of $51.5 billion and net income of $674 million in 2025. Revenue comes from monthly, single, and annual premiums on insured balances from approximately 1,600 lender customers. GSE eligibility rules via PMIERs effectively govern underwriting criteria and capital requirements for the company's primary insurance subsidiary, EMICO.

Related stocks: RDN (Radian Group Inc.) · NMIH (NMI Holdings Inc) · ESNT (Essent Group Ltd.) · AXS (Axis Capital Holdings Limited) · FNF (Fidelity National Financial, In)
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