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Enact Holdings, Inc. (ACT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $40.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.46. Engine's entry $40.82 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Enact Holdings is a private mortgage insurer covering low-down-payment residential loans in all 50 states, facilitating secondary market sales to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It generated $51.5B in new insurance written in 2025 serving ~1,600 customers with net income of $674M.... Read more

$42.46+7.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 10 Insurance - Specialty
Entry $40.82(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $39.07Target $43.63(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$45.80+7.9%5 analysts
$43.63our TP
$42.46price
$45.80mean
$50

Wait for pullback to $40.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.46. Engine's entry $40.82 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-6.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn54.6%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta0.51
Dividend1.97%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$23-47.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlargest customer22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer accounted for 22% of total NIW and 12% of our total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicCalifornia12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest state concentration was in California, which represented 12% of primary RIF'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
4.5
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.15Resistance $44.52

Price Targets

$39
$41
$44
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R-1.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.46. Engine's entry $40.82 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-6.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $43.63 (+2.8%), stop $39.07 (−8.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.63 (+7.8% upside). Target $43.63 (+2.8%), stop $39.07 (−8.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $39.07.

What are the risks of investing in ACT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is ACT overvalued or undervalued?

Enact Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ACT?

9 analysts cover ACT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Enact Holdings, Inc. do?Enact Holdings is a private mortgage insurer covering low-down-payment residential loans in all 50 states, facilitating...

Enact Holdings is a private mortgage insurer covering low-down-payment residential loans in all 50 states, facilitating secondary market sales to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It generated $51.5B in new insurance written in 2025 serving ~1,600 customers with net income of $674M. The largest customer accounted for 22% of NIW and 12% of revenues in 2025.

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