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ACRSAclaris Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.0·$3.96
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Aclaris is a cash-burning biotech with shrinking revenue, but losses are contained near -$0.15 per share, results mostly beat estimates, and the $8.86 analyst target implies 136.2% upside from $3.75.

Thesis pillars

  • Heavy Cash Burn→Stable
  • Declining Revenue→Stable
  • Losses Contained Beats Estimates→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc. (ACRS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.96: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 8.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Aclaris Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing small-molecule and biologic product candidates for immuno-inflammatory diseases, using its proprietary KINect kinase-discovery platform alongside licensed antibody programs. Its lead assets include... Read more

$3.96+121.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#176 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-7.20%
Stop $3.68Analyst target $8.78(−13% haircut)A.R:R 8.1:1
Analyst consensus$10.09+154.8%11 analysts
$8.78Analyst target
$3.96price
$10.09mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.96: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 8.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.

About Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.

Aclaris Therapeutics is advancing four clinical-stage immuno-inflammatory product candidates: bosakitug, a monoclonal antibody targeting TSLP with Phase 2 topline data expected in the second half of 2026; ATI-052, a TSLP/IL-4Ra bispecific antibody now in Phase 1b trials for atopic dermatitis and asthma; and the oral ITK/JAK3 inhibitor ATI-2138, which met its primary endpoint in a Phase 2a atopic dermatitis trial in July 2025. The company held $151.4 million in cash and marketable securities as of December 31, 2025, against a $64.9 million net loss for the year.

Aclaris does not intend to commercialize its product candidates alone; its stated strategy is to identify and consummate transactions with third-party partners to further develop, obtain marketing approval for, and commercialize each asset, meaning future revenue depends on striking and executing partnership agreements rather than direct product sales. Both of its lead biologics, bosakitug and ATI-052, are exclusively licensed worldwide (excluding Greater China) from Biosion, Inc., while bosakitug's Greater China rights and development are licensed separately to CTTQ, and the company has licensed its topical JAK inhibitor lepzacitinib's Greater China rights to Pediatrix Therapeutics while still seeking a global partner outside that territory. Aclaris owns no manufacturing facilities and relies entirely on third parties to produce preclinical and clinical drug supply for all of its product candidates.

Show full overview

Aclaris's business model creates a structural dependency most biotechs don't share: because the company explicitly plans to out-license rather than commercialize its own candidates, its eventual revenue hinges not just on clinical trial success but on its ability to negotiate and close partnership agreements on acceptable terms, a step the 10-K flags as a distinct risk on top of ordinary development risk. That dependency is concentrated in a single external licensor, Biosion, which holds the underlying rights to both TSLP-targeting programs, bosakitug and ATI-052, that make up the bulk of the company's near-term clinical catalysts, with topline data across both programs expected through 2026.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Biosion
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-5.3
Mkt Cap$583M
EV/EBITDA-5.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-59.1%
Rev Growth-8.3%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV152%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyBiosion
    10-K Item 1: 'We exclusively license global rights (excluding Mainland China, Macau, Hong Kong and Taiwan ("Greater China")) to bosakitug from Biosion, Inc.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -8.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.4
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
9.5
Cash-burning: FCF -511% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
3.1
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 8.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.18Resistance $5.18

Price Targets

$4
$9
A.Upside+121.7%
A.R:R8.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACRS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.96: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 8.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $3.68. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACRS stock price target?

Analyst target: $8.78 (+121.7% upside). Prior stop was $3.68. Stop-loss: $3.68.

What are the risks of investing in ACRS?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Biosion; Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is ACRS overvalued or undervalued?

Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACRS?

19 analysts cover ACRS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc. do?Aclaris Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing small-molecule and biologic product...

Aclaris Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing small-molecule and biologic product candidates for immuno-inflammatory diseases, using its proprietary KINect kinase-discovery platform alongside licensed antibody programs. Its lead assets include bosakitug and ATI-052, TSLP-targeting antibodies exclusively licensed from Biosion, and internally discovered ITK/JAK inhibitors ATI-2138 and ATI-9494, none of which are FDA-approved; the company reported a $64.9 million net loss in 2025 and $151.4 million in cash and marketable securities.

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