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ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.Sell5.1·$15.41+0.13%
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Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.41: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Albertsons operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores across 35 states and DC under 22 banners including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and Jewel-Osco, serving 36.5 million customers per week with approximately 280,000 employees. The company's Own Brands portfolio generated $16.9... Read more

$15.41+22.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 5 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield20.04%
IncomeYield4.42%(5y avg 2.32%)Payout150.00%at-risk
Stop $14.56Target $18.84(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$20.94+35.9%16 analysts
$18.84our TP
$15.41price
$20.94mean
$14
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.41: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Albertsons Companies, Inc.

About Albertsons Companies, Inc.

Albertsons operates 2,244 stores under 22 banners — including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Jewel-Osco, Shaw's, and ACME — across 35 states and the District of Columbia, serving 36.5 million customers per week and employing approximately 280,000 associates as of February 28, 2026. The Own Brands portfolio, spanning more than 14,000 unique items under names such as Signature SELECT, O Organics, and Open Nature, generated $16.9 billion in retail sales in fiscal 2025. The network also includes 1,713 in-store pharmacies, 1,240 branded coffee shops, 405 fuel centers, and 22 dedicated distribution centers, with delivery available in more than 2,200 stores.

Albertson's revenue model depends on high-volume grocery, pharmacy, and fuel sales across full-service stores combined with an omnichannel layer: Drive Up & Go curbside pickup is available in more than 2,100 stores and delivery through third-party partners including Instacart, DoorDash, and Uber. Only 9.9% of Own Brands units were manufactured in company-owned facilities in fiscal 2025 across 19 food production plants; the remainder was sourced from third-party manufacturers, with no single supplier representing more than roughly 5% of sales. The Albertsons Media Collective retail media business monetizes the 51.2 million enrolled loyalty-program members through targeted advertising for vendor partners. Several primary competitors are larger than Albertsons or are not subject to collective bargaining agreements, which may limit Albertson's flexibility to respond to price competition.

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Albertson's labor structure is a significant fixed cost driver: approximately 190,000 of its 280,000 associates were covered by collective bargaining agreements as of February 28, 2026, with agreements covering roughly 126,000 employees expiring and renegotiated in fiscal 2025, and those covering approximately 22,000 employees scheduled to expire in fiscal 2026. The company contributes to 28 multiemployer pension plans; exiting certain markets could trigger substantial withdrawal liability. If wage rates rise or pension contributions increase beyond what pricing power and productivity gains can offset, the labor cost structure could weigh on operating margins.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

From Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Albertsons Companies, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.5
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE8.3%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta0.23
Dividend4.42%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.2
Volume
3.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.1
Operating Margin
0.7
Gross Margin
1.4
Roe
2.8
Roa
2.8
Current Ratio
3.4
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 703% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.01Resistance $17.68

Price Targets

$15
$19
A.Upside+22.3%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.41: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $14.56. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.84 (+22.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.56. Stop-loss: $14.56.

What are the risks of investing in ACI?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is ACI overvalued or undervalued?

Albertsons Companies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.5 (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACI?

26 analysts cover ACI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Albertsons Companies, Inc. do?Albertsons operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores across 35 states and DC under 22 banners including Albertsons,...

Albertsons operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores across 35 states and DC under 22 banners including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and Jewel-Osco, serving 36.5 million customers per week with approximately 280,000 employees. The company's Own Brands portfolio generated $16.9 billion in retail sales in fiscal 2025 across more than 14,000 unique items.

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