Albertsons trades at a forward P/E of 6 times with a favorable risk/reward of approximately 8-to-1, but a confirmed death cross and below-average business quality place the stock in a technically challenged position that warrants caution despite the compelling valuation discount.
Thesis pillars
- Confirmed Technical Downtrend→Stable
- Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
- Attractive Valuation Wide Upside→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Apr 27, 2026
Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.15: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Albertsons operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores across 35 states and DC under 22 banners including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and Jewel-Osco, serving 36.5 million customers per week with approximately 280,000 employees. The company's Own Brands portfolio generated $16.9... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.15: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Albertsons Companies, Inc.
About Albertsons Companies, Inc.
Albertsons operates 2,244 stores under 22 banners — including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Jewel-Osco, Shaw's, and ACME — across 35 states and the District of Columbia, serving 36.5 million customers per week and employing approximately 280,000 associates as of February 28, 2026. The Own Brands portfolio, spanning more than 14,000 unique items under names such as Signature SELECT, O Organics, and Open Nature, generated $16.9 billion in retail sales in fiscal 2025. The network also includes 1,713 in-store pharmacies, 1,240 branded coffee shops, 405 fuel centers, and 22 dedicated distribution centers, with delivery available in more than 2,200 stores.
Albertson's revenue model depends on high-volume grocery, pharmacy, and fuel sales across full-service stores combined with an omnichannel layer: Drive Up & Go curbside pickup is available in more than 2,100 stores and delivery through third-party partners including Instacart, DoorDash, and Uber. Only 9.9% of Own Brands units were manufactured in company-owned facilities in fiscal 2025 across 19 food production plants; the remainder was sourced from third-party manufacturers, with no single supplier representing more than roughly 5% of sales. The Albertsons Media Collective retail media business monetizes the 51.2 million enrolled loyalty-program members through targeted advertising for vendor partners. Several primary competitors are larger than Albertsons or are not subject to collective bargaining agreements, which may limit Albertson's flexibility to respond to price competition.
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Albertson's labor structure is a significant fixed cost driver: approximately 190,000 of its 280,000 associates were covered by collective bargaining agreements as of February 28, 2026, with agreements covering roughly 126,000 employees expiring and renegotiated in fiscal 2025, and those covering approximately 22,000 employees scheduled to expire in fiscal 2026. The company contributes to 28 multiemployer pension plans; exiting certain markets could trigger substantial withdrawal liability. If wage rates rise or pension contributions increase beyond what pricing power and productivity gains can offset, the labor cost structure could weigh on operating margins.
See also: Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
From Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Albertsons Companies, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Albertsons Launches 'Albertsons for U+' Subscription Loyalty Program — fiscal.ai Oct 26, 2026 positive
- NEWS Albertsons, FTAI Aviation, NextEra Energy And A Financial Stock On CNBC’s ‘Final Trades’ — benzinga Oct 22, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CNBC Halftime Report Final Trades: NextEra Energy, Albertsons Companies, Interactive Brokers Group, FTAI Aviation — benzinga Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Albertsons Companies Introduces New Albertsons ForU™ American Express® Card — fiscal.ai Oct 21, 2026 positive
- NEWS Mondelez Launches Gluten-Free Ritz Crackers at Albertsons — fiscal.ai Oct 20, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:30Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.15: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $12.23. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $12.66 reached (−3.8% from $13.15); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $12.23. Stop-loss: $12.23.
Target reached (-3.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).
Albertsons Companies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover ACI with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $14.
What does Albertsons Companies, Inc. do?Albertsons operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores across 35 states and DC under 22 banners including Albertsons,...
Albertsons operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores across 35 states and DC under 22 banners including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and Jewel-Osco, serving 36.5 million customers per week with approximately 280,000 employees. The company's Own Brands portfolio generated $16.9 billion in retail sales in fiscal 2025 across more than 14,000 unique items.