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WMKWeis Markets, Inc.Sell4.9·$74.28
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Weis Markets shows exceptional near-term technical momentum with a breakout above all moving averages and strong volume accumulation, but the business quality score of 3.3 is below the minimum floor and the stock offers no remaining upside to resistance, making it unsuitable for new entry despite the compelling momentum profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Breakout Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Quality Floor Failure↓Deteriorating
  • Upside Exhaustion At Resistance→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $74.28: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no material change in the nature of the Company's business during fiscal 2025. The Company's stock has been traded on the New York Stock Exchange since 1965 under the... Read more

$74.28+6.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#6 of 10 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.53%
IncomeYield1.79%(5y avg 1.87%)Payout34.61%sustainable
Stop $70.32Resistance target $78.94A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $74.28: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Weis Markets, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn2.0%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta0.39
Dividend1.79%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.3
Revenue Growth
3.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 5 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.8
Operating Margin
0.9
Net Margin
1.0
Gross Margin
1.2
Roe
2.4
Roa
2.6
Moat
5.2
Current Ratio
7.1
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 10% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.11Resistance $80.55

Price Targets

$70
$79
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $74.28: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $70.32. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WMK stock price target?

Resistance target: $78.94 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $70.32. Stop-loss: $70.32.

What are the risks of investing in WMK?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap).

Is WMK overvalued or undervalued?

Weis Markets, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Weis Markets, Inc. do?The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no...

The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no material change in the nature of the Company's business during fiscal 2025. The Company's stock has been traded on the New York Stock Exchange since 1965 under the symbol "WMK." The Weis family currently owns approximately 61% of the outstanding shares. Jonathan H. Weis serves as Chairman of the Board of Directors, President and Chief Executive Officer.

Related stocks: YSWY (Yesway, Inc.) · NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott) · SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.) · IMKTA (Ingles Markets, Incorporated) · VLGEA (Village Super Market, Inc.)
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