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ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.Sell5.2·$16.20+2.02%
ACI · Why this verdict

Why Albertsons Companies (ACI) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E3.0
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA8.0
Fwd P/E9.8
PEG5.2
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 6.6x
  • PEG: 1.44
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE2.8
ROA2.8
Gross margin1.4
Op margin0.7
Net margin0.1
Current ratio3.4
FCF quality10.0
Moat4.2
Piotroski F5.6
  • Excellent cash conversion: 703% FCF/NI
  • No competitive moat

Growth

4.4/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.4

Momentum

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD6.1
OBV10.0
MA position4.0
Volume1.9
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.3
Price target8.4
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 28%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Insider selling (low materiality) — $1,472,070 (0.018% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.0
quality rank2.0
growth rank8.0

Technical

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger4.0
support resistance5.7
52w position4.9
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest4.0
days to cover4.0
volatility4.2
put call10.0
implied vol3.3
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity0.0
  • High IV: 60%
  • Above max pain $6

Catalyst

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety5.2
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 416.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:2.3>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:43d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (3)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.3>=5.0 recovering
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.29
Upside
+15.2%
Downside
6.6%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.3 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.3, Sentiment at 7.0, and Momentum at 5.3; the weakest are Quality at 3.4, Catalyst at 4.4, and Growth at 4.4. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 3 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.29 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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