Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ACHR stock price target?

Take-profit $9.52 (+61.6% upside). Prior stop was $5.48.

Q: Is ACHR overvalued or undervalued?

Archer Aviation Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about ACHR?

15 analysts cover ACHR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.89: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.88; Below-average business quality.

Archer Aviation is developing the Midnight eVTOL aircraft for urban air taxi operations and a dual-use hybrid-electric VTOL aircraft for defense in partnership with Anduril Industries. The company has not yet generated commercial revenue; net loss was $618.2 million in 2025 and... Read more

$5.89+61.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#34 of 47 Aerospace & Defense

Stop $5.48Target $9.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.4:1

Analyst target$10.94+85.8%9 analysts

$9.52our TP

$5.89price

$10.94mean

$18

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-5.5

Mkt Cap$4.3B

EV/EBITDA-3.4

Profit Mgn0.0%

ROE-41.8%

Rev Growth—

Beta3.24

DividendNone

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C2.88bearish

IV91%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-19Item 5.02LOW
Tosha Perkins transitioning from Chief Administrative Officer to senior advisor effective April 17, 2026. No reason cited for role change; no successor named for CAO position.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.015%1.35

Quality1.515%0.22

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum5.210%0.52

Sentiment7.410%0.74

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.510%0.45

Technical Setup2.85%0.14

Risk Profile1.45%0.07

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)4.96

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility

0.0

Put Call

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Beta

0.0

Debt Equity

0.0

Short Interest

2.9

Days To Cover

7.2

Elevated put/call: 2.88High IV: 91%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Piotroski F

2.2

Current Ratio

5.0

Moat

5.0

Cash-burning: FCF -125479% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

0.0

Bollinger

3.7

Support Resistance

4.7

GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 5.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

60 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.22Resistance $6.49

Price Targets

$10

A.Upside+61.6%

A.R:R5.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-11 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ACHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.89: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.88; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $5.48. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.52 (+61.6% upside). Prior stop was $5.48. Stop-loss: $5.48.

What are the risks of investing in ACHR?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is ACHR overvalued or undervalued?

Archer Aviation Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACHR?

15 analysts cover ACHR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Archer Aviation Inc. do?Archer Aviation is developing the Midnight eVTOL aircraft for urban air taxi operations and a dual-use hybrid-electric...