Skip to main content

Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Arcosa provides infrastructure-related products and solutions through three segments: Construction Products (natural/recycled aggregates, specialty materials, asphalt in Texas and NJ primarily), Engineered Structures (utility/wind/traffic/telecom structures), and Transportation... Read more

$124.17+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#24 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $115.06Target $126.37(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$128.40+3.4%5 analysts
$126.37our TP
$124.17price
$128.40mean
$115
$135

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.8
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE8.6%
Rev Growth-9.5%
Beta
Dividend0.16%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerGE Vernova12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'GE Vernova accounted for approximately 12.2% of our consolidated revenues in 2025 up from 10.8% of consolidated revenues in 2024'
  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas35%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest markets are Texas and New Jersey, which represent approximately 35% and 20% of 2025 segment revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    Jesse E. Collins, Jr., Group President overseeing Wind Towers and Construction Site Support, retiring effective April 3, 2026. No disagreement cited. No successor named in visible filing text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
3.7
Value Rank
5.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $104.98Resistance $128.95

Price Targets

$115
$126
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $115.06. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.37 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $115.06. Stop-loss: $115.06.

What are the risks of investing in ACA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is ACA overvalued or undervalued?

Arcosa, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.8 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACA?

10 analysts cover ACA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Arcosa, Inc. do?Arcosa provides infrastructure-related products and solutions through three segments: Construction Products...

Arcosa provides infrastructure-related products and solutions through three segments: Construction Products (natural/recycled aggregates, specialty materials, asphalt in Texas and NJ primarily), Engineered Structures (utility/wind/traffic/telecom structures), and Transportation Products (inland barges, being divested in 2026). Largest markets are Texas and New Jersey for aggregates; GE Vernova is the largest single customer.

Related stocks: CDLR (Cadeler A/S) · STN (Stantec Inc) · TPC (Tutor Perini Corporation) · DY (Dycom Industries, Inc.) · WLDN (Willdan Group, Inc.)