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VTRVentas, Inc.Buy Wait5.4·$83.83-0.90%
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Ventas, Inc. (VTR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Wait for pullback to $79.69. At $83.83 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $79.69 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.9%.

Ventas is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties across the U.S., Canada, and U.K., operating through three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (SHOP, 49.4% of NOI), Outpatient Medical & Research (24.7%), and Triple-net (24.6%). Revenue flows from RIDEA management... Read more

$83.83+9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.61%
IncomeYield2.36%(5y avg 3.31%)Payout356.36%
Entry $79.69(5% below current)Stop $75.74Target $87.12(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$96.80+15.5%20 analysts
$87.12our TP
$83.83price
$96.80mean
$110

Wait for pullback to $79.69. At $83.83 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $79.69 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.9%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)153.8
P/E (Fwd)99.9
Mkt Cap$41.1B
EV/EBITDA23.7
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE2.1%
Rev Growth21.9%
Beta0.73
Dividend2.36%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMPropertySeniors Housing Operating (SHOP)49%
    10-K Item 1: 'Senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP)| | $| 1,184,064 | | | 49.4 | %'
  • LOWTenantAtria Senior Living18%
    10-K Item 1: 'Atria Senior Living, Inc.| 17.7 | %| | 194 | | | 14.1 | %'
  • LOWGeographicCalifornia
    10-K Item 1: 'with properties in only one state (California) accounting for more than 10% of our total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    SVP/Chief Accounting Officer Gregory Liebbe resigned effective Feb 27, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. CFO Robert Probst assumes CAO responsibilities on interim basis during search for permanent successor. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.08Resistance $89.84

Price Targets

$76
$80
$87
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $79.69. At $83.83 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $79.69 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $87.12 (+3.9%), stop $75.74 (−10.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.12 (+9.3% upside). Target $87.12 (+3.9%), stop $75.74 (−10.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $75.74.

What are the risks of investing in VTR?

Thin upside margin: 3.9%.

Is VTR overvalued or undervalued?

Ventas, Inc. trades at a P/E of 153.8 (forward 99.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about VTR?

25 analysts cover VTR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $97.

What does Ventas, Inc. do?Ventas is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties across the U.S., Canada, and U.K., operating through three...

Ventas is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties across the U.S., Canada, and U.K., operating through three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (SHOP, 49.4% of NOI), Outpatient Medical & Research (24.7%), and Triple-net (24.6%). Revenue flows from RIDEA management agreements with 62 senior housing operators and triple-net leases on post-acute and medical facilities.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · WELL (Welltower Inc.) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · CTRE (CareTrust REIT, Inc.)
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