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Welltower Inc. (WELL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $217.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Welltower is an S&P 500 REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare real estate across the US, UK, and Canada, with 2,500+ communities. Revenue flows from three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (78% of 2025 revenues), Triple-net leases (11%), and Outpatient Medical (7%),... Read more

$217.66-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Stop $206.18Target $215.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$229.80+5.6%20 analysts
$215.20our TP
$217.66price
$229.80mean
$184
$260

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $217.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)105.5
P/E (Fwd)65.1
Mkt Cap$153.4B
EV/EBITDA56.8
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE3.7%
Rev Growth38.3%
Beta0.82
Dividend1.36%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C7.81bearish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertySeniors Housing Operating78%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Seniors Housing Operating segment accounted for 78%, 76% and 72% of total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWCustomerCare UK14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Care UK, Cogir Management Company and Sunrise Senior Living accounted for 14%, 12% and 10% of Seniors Housing Operating Segment revenues, respectively.'
  • LOWTenantIntegra Healthcare Properties16%
    10-K Item 1: 'our revenues related to our relationship with Integra Healthcare Properties ("Integra") accounted for approximately 16% of our Triple-net segment revenues and 2% of total revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
1.4
P Ocf
2.3
Analyst Target
4.0
P/OCF: 52.0x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $198.88Resistance $219.59

Price Targets

$206
$215
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WELL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $217.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $215.20 (-1.1%), stop $206.18 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WELL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $215.20 (-1.1% upside). Target $215.20 (-1.1%), stop $206.18 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $206.18.

What are the risks of investing in WELL?

Concentration risk — Property Type: Seniors Housing Operating (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away).

Is WELL overvalued or undervalued?

Welltower Inc. trades at a P/E of 105.5 (forward 65.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WELL?

26 analysts cover WELL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $230.

What does Welltower Inc. do?Welltower is an S&P 500 REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare real estate across the US, UK, and Canada,...

Welltower is an S&P 500 REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare real estate across the US, UK, and Canada, with 2,500+ communities. Revenue flows from three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (78% of 2025 revenues), Triple-net leases (11%), and Outpatient Medical (7%), with 62 operating partners managing the SHO properties.

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