Ur Energy presents an asymmetric risk/reward setup (3.34x, 50% upside to target vs 7% downside to stop) but carries a quality score below the engine's floor, a failed momentum gate, a 3-quarter earnings miss streak, and weak peer rankings on both quality and value.
Thesis pillars
- Asymmetric Risk Reward Setup→Stable
- Quality Floor Breach→Stable
- Momentum Gate Failure→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ur Energy Inc (URG) Stock Analysis
Energy · Uranium
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.30: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Ur-Energy Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of uranium mineral properties in the United States. It holds interests in 12 projects located in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Lost Creek project covering an area of... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.30: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.
About Ur Energy Inc
About Ur Energy Inc
Ur Energy has committed 800,000 to 1,400,000 pounds of U3O8 in annual term sales contracts between 2026 and 2030, with at least 100,000 pounds committed in each of 2032 and 2033, produced from its Lost Creek in-situ recovery facility in south-central Wyoming — currently the company's only operating uranium facility. Spot U3O8 pricing rose from $72.63 per pound at December 31, 2024 to $81.55 per pound at December 31, 2025. The company expects to bring a second facility, Shirley Basin, an hour outside Casper, Wyoming, into commissioning during the first half of 2026.
Ur Energy sells U3O8 to nuclear fuel purchasers under both term sales contracts and spot transactions, recovering uranium through in-situ recovery methods that require ongoing water management, treatment, and wastewater disposal under state and federal permits. The company markets its product to a limited number of purchasers and competes against a very limited number of competitors, many of which are state-sponsored operations producing at lower, subsidized costs than Ur Energy's own operations. Growth capital is currently directed at completing the build-out and commissioning of the Shirley Basin facility, alongside a planned 2026 wastewater treatment facility at Lost Creek, while the company resumed exploration programs in 2025 after halting them during the prior uranium market downturn, aiming to replenish resources at Lost Creek and in the broader Great Divide Basin.
Show full overview
Ur Energy's production is concentrated in a single operating site: the 10-K states the company continues operations at its 'first and, currently, only' uranium in-situ recovery facility at Lost Creek, a remote site in south-central Wyoming, more than a decade after first production began there in 2013. The company has not established proven or probable reserves under SEC or Canadian reporting standards at Lost Creek, Shirley Basin, or any other project, meaning near-term output depends on estimated mineral resources rather than reserves, and any operational disruption, delay, or geological surprise at this one site would directly affect the company's ability to meet its term sales commitments until Shirley Basin reaches steady-state production.
From Ur Energy Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-08Recent Developments — Ur Energy Inc
Latest news
- NEWS The Secret Winners Of The AI Nuclear Revival — benzinga Jul 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Ur-Energy Gets Approval To Expand Shirley Basin Uranium Operations — benzinga Jun 29, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-08T23:14:28Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicLost Creek, Wyoming10-K Item 1A: 'We continue operations at our first and, currently, only, uranium in situ recovery facility at Lost Creek, where we began ramp-up to renewed commercial operations in 2023.'
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of purchasers10-K Item 1A: 'we market our product to a limited number of purchasers in competition with supplies from a very limited number of competitors'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.30: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1.21. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $2.03 (+56.2% upside). Prior stop was $1.21. Stop-loss: $1.21.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Lost Creek, Wyoming; Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).
Ur Energy Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover URG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $2.
What does Ur Energy Inc do?Ur-Energy Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of uranium mineral properties in the...
Ur-Energy Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of uranium mineral properties in the United States. It holds interests in 12 projects located in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Lost Creek project covering an area of approximately 1,800 unpatented mining claims and three Wyoming mineral leases covering an area of approximately 35,400 acres located in the Great Divide Basin, Wyoming. Ur-Energy Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Littleton, Colorado.