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UROYUranium Royalty Corp.Sell5.0·$2.69+1.51%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uranium Royalty Corp carries a 3-of-4 earnings beat streak and an asymmetric 2.78x risk/reward setup heading into its next report, but a forward P/E of 199x flagged as a cyclical trap, an elevated 5.86 put/call ratio, and a still-below-200-MA technical picture temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak CatalystStable
  • Cyclical Peak Earnings Decline RiskStable
  • Elevated Put Call Hedging RiskStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uranium Royalty Corp. (UROY) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Expensive valuation; Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak).

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and... Read more

$2.69+38.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#6 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.18%
Stop $2.49Target $3.69(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$4.34+61.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Expensive valuation; Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Analyst upside: 39%
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak)
Expensive valuation
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)94.0
P/E (Fwd)200.1
Mkt Cap$413M
EV/EBITDA110.1
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth416400.0%
Beta1.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C7.83bearish
IV123%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.3
Ps
5.1
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (40%).
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.57Resistance $3.22

Price Targets

$2
$4
A.Upside+37.2%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 200x vs trail 94x (2.1x)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UROY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Expensive valuation; Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.49. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UROY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.69 (+38.7% upside). Prior stop was $2.49. Stop-loss: $2.49.

What are the risks of investing in UROY?

Earnings expected to decline ~53% (cyclical peak); Expensive valuation; Elevated risk factors.

Is UROY overvalued or undervalued?

Uranium Royalty Corp. trades at a P/E of 94.0 (forward 200.1). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UROY?

8 analysts cover UROY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Uranium Royalty Corp. do?Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain....

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company also owns and manages a portfolio of geographically diversified uranium interests. Uranium Royalty Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: URG (Ur Energy Inc) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · ISOU (IsoEnergy Ltd.) · DNN (Denison Mines Corp)
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