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LEUCentrus Energy Corp.Sell5.0·$167.28+3.40%
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Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $167.28: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical services including HALEU production for the U.S. government. Its LEU segment (77% of revenues) holds contracts with utilities through 2040 for SWU delivery;... Read more

$167.28+48.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#3 of 6 Uranium
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.34%
Stop $153.27Target $242.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$278.64+66.6%14 analysts
$242.42our TP
$167.28price
$278.64mean
$390

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $167.28: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX
Concentration risk — Product: LEU segment (77.0%)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.5
P/E (Fwd)41.2
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA74.0
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV102%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierTENEX
    10-K Item 1: 'We are currently dependent on purchases from suppliers to meet our obligations to customers, including SWU purchases from the Russian government entity, TENEX'
  • HIGHProductLEU segment77%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our LEU segment accounted for approximately 77% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.5
Gross Margin
1.1
Roe
4.1
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Net Margin
6.7
Current Ratio
7.3
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -18% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $158.01Resistance $216.70

Price Targets

$153
$242
A.Upside+44.9%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.06% of cap)
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $167.28: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $153.27. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $242.42 (+48.1% upside). Prior stop was $153.27. Stop-loss: $153.27.

What are the risks of investing in LEU?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX; Concentration risk — Product: LEU segment (77.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is LEU overvalued or undervalued?

Centrus Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of 59.5 (forward 41.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEU?

18 analysts cover LEU with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $279.

What does Centrus Energy Corp. do?Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical...

Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical services including HALEU production for the U.S. government. Its LEU segment (77% of revenues) holds contracts with utilities through 2040 for SWU delivery; Technical Solutions operates the only U.S. active HALEU enrichment cascade in Piketon, Ohio.

Related stocks: UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · NXE (Nexgen Energy Ltd.) · DNN (Denison Mines Corp)
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