Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the LEU stock price target?

Take-profit $241.06 (+17.6% upside). Prior stop was $190.65.

Q: What are the risks of investing in LEU?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX; Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.05% of cap); Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Q: Is LEU overvalued or undervalued?

Centrus Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of 54.1 (forward 48.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about LEU?

20 analysts cover LEU with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $277.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Energy · Uranium

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $205.00: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

$205.00+17.6% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#3 of 6 Uranium

Stop $190.65Target $241.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1

Analyst target$277.08+35.2%13 analysts

$241.06our TP

$205.00price

$277.08mean

$137

$390

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX

Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.1

P/E (Fwd)48.0

Mkt Cap$4.1B

EV/EBITDA63.9

Profit Mgn17.3%

ROE16.8%

Rev Growth-3.6%

Beta1.36

DividendNone

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral

IV108%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHSupplierTENEX
10-K Item 1A: 'We are currently dependent on purchases from suppliers to meet our obligations to customers, including SWU purchases from the Russian government entity, TENEX.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.915%0.58

Quality4.415%0.66

Growth3.115%0.46

Momentum4.510%0.45

Sentiment7.110%0.71

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.410%0.54

Technical Setup3.45%0.17

Risk Profile3.05%0.15

Catalyst5.85%0.29

Overall (Σ contributions)4.52

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -3.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

1.6

Earnings Growth

4.6

Declining revenue: -4%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

0.0

Bollinger

3.8

Support Resistance

3.9

Gap

6.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

2.3

Forward Pe

2.4

Peg Ratio

3.2

4.0

Analyst Target

7.5

Forward P/E: 48.0xPEG: 3.76

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

55 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $165.67Resistance $230.49

Price Targets

$191

$241

A.Upside+17.6%

A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.05% of cap)

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LEU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $205.00: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $190.65. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $241.06 (+17.6% upside). Prior stop was $190.65. Stop-loss: $190.65.

What are the risks of investing in LEU?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX; Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is LEU overvalued or undervalued?

Centrus Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of 54.1 (forward 48.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEU?

20 analysts cover LEU with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $277.

What does Centrus Energy Corp. do?Centrus Energy supplies low-enriched uranium (LEU) and separative work units (SWU) to commercial nuclear utilities...

Centrus Energy supplies low-enriched uranium (LEU) and separative work units (SWU) to commercial nuclear utilities globally through its LEU segment, and produces HALEU for advanced reactors and technical services via its Technical Solutions segment. Revenue comes primarily from long-term LEU sales contracts backed by a global supplier network. Its AC100M centrifuge is the only U.S. deployment-ready uranium enrichment technology.