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URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.Sell5.3·$77.71+0.92%
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Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to... Read more

$77.71+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#10 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.07%
Stop $72.44Target $77.83(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$84.00+8.1%12 analysts
$77.83our TP
$77.71price
$84.00mean
$67
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE18.7%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$55-29.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.4
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.40Resistance $79.42

Price Targets

$72
$78
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URBN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $72.44. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the URBN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.83 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $72.44. Stop-loss: $72.44.

What are the risks of investing in URBN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is URBN overvalued or undervalued?

Urban Outfitters, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about URBN?

20 analysts cover URBN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Urban Outfitters, Inc. do?We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including...

We are a leading lifestyle products and services company which operates a portfolio of global consumer brands including the Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, Urban Outfitters and Nuuly brands. As used in this document, unless otherwise defined, "Anthropologie" refers to our Anthropologie, Terrain and Maeve brands and "Free People" refers to our Free People and FP Movement brands.

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