Union Pacific delivers 41% ROE, 29% operating margins, and ranks best-in-class on both return and margin metrics within the railroad peer group, with a 3-out-of-4 earnings beat streak, but trades near analyst resistance with negative asymmetry and a PEG of 3.26 suggesting the quality is already fully priced in.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Roe And Margins→Stable
- Earnings Beat Streak Consistency↓Deteriorating
- Price At Resistance Negative Asymmetry↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge
Industrials · Railroads
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $289.46 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.
Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies, Union Pacific Railroad Company connects 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country by rail, providing a critical link in the global supply chain. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $289.46 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — Union Pacific Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Union Pacific to post Q2 earnings amid merger push (UNP:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS UNP Stock Quote Price and Forecast - CNN — CNN neutral
- NEWS Union Pacific (UNP) Set to Report Q1 Earnings with Mixed Expecta - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Union Pacific (UNP) Could Be a Great Choice - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) posts narrow Q4 2025 EPS miss, shares trade nearly flat in muted investor reaction. - Co — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng negative
Generated 2026-07-31T07:18:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $289.46 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $274.02. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $295.46 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $274.02. Stop-loss: $274.02.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Negative momentum.
Union Pacific Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.9 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover UNP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $328.
What does Union Pacific Corporation do?Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies,...
Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies, Union Pacific Railroad Company connects 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country by rail, providing a critical link in the global supply chain. The Railroad's diversified business mix includes Bulk, Industrial, and Premium. Union Pacific serves many of the fastest-growing U.S.