Skip to main content
TVTXTravere Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.9·$53.53+2.86%
Open full analysis

Travere Therapeutics, Inc. (TVTX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.53: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.39; Below-average business quality.

Travere Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on rare kidney and metabolic diseases, with FDA-approved FILSPARI (sparsentan) for IgAN and a supplemental NDA under review for FSGS (PDUFA April 13, 2026), plus pegtibatinase in pivotal Phase 3 for homocystinuria.... Read more

$53.53-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#30 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.06%
Stop $49.77Target $52.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$56.14+4.9%14 analysts
$52.72our TP
$53.53price
$56.14mean
$43
$67

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.53: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.39; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: FILSPARI
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers for FILSPARI and Thiola
Target reached (-8.7% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA304.7
Profit Mgn-4.0%
ROE-69.4%
Rev Growth55.6%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.39bearish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$13-76.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFILSPARI
    10-K Item 1A: 'our ability to generate significant product revenues and to achieve commercial success in the near-term will depend almost entirely on our ability to successfully commercialize our products in the United States, including FILSPARI'
  • HIGHSuppliersole source suppliers for FILSPARI and Thiola
    10-K Item 1A: 'rely on third-party manufacturers who are currently sole source suppliers for manufacturing of FILSPARI and Thiola'
  • HIGHpipelinesparsentan FSGS sNDA
    10-K Item 1A: 'The sNDA remains under review by the FDA with a PDUFA target action date of April 13, 2026.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volatility
0.2
Implied Vol
0.2
Short Interest
1.5
Debt Equity
1.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
4.1
Days To Cover
4.8
Beta
6.4
High short interest justified: 20%High IV: 79%Above max pain $12Concentration risks: 3 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.2
Current Ratio
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenue

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
9.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.3
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.32Resistance $53.80

Price Targets

$50
$53
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TVTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.53: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.39; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $49.77. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TVTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.72 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $49.77. Stop-loss: $49.77.

What are the risks of investing in TVTX?

Concentration risk — Product: FILSPARI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers for FILSPARI and Thiola; Target reached (-8.7% upside).

Is TVTX overvalued or undervalued?

Travere Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TVTX?

21 analysts cover TVTX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Travere Therapeutics, Inc. do?Travere Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on rare kidney and metabolic diseases, with FDA-approved...

Travere Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on rare kidney and metabolic diseases, with FDA-approved FILSPARI (sparsentan) for IgAN and a supplemental NDA under review for FSGS (PDUFA April 13, 2026), plus pegtibatinase in pivotal Phase 3 for homocystinuria. Revenue derives from U.S. FILSPARI sales and milestone/royalty payments from out-licensing partners CSL Vifor and Chugai for ex-U.S. territories.

Related stocks: INCY (Incyte Corporation) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group Internat) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.)
Home Stocks TVTX

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga5h agoAnalyst
Benzinga3d agoAnalyst
Benzinga11d agoProduct
Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga13d ago
Benzinga14d agoProduct
Benzinga19d agoFda Decision
Benzinga19d agoProduct
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga41d agoAnalyst
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga42d agoEarnings
Benzinga43d agoEarnings
Benzinga52d agoAnalyst
Benzinga60d agoFda Decision
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d agoAnalyst
Loading more...