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TBBKThe Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.6·$56.35-1.93%
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The Bancorp, Inc. (TBBK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.12; Below long-term trend.

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into... Read more

$56.35+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#98 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $53.19Target $61.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$72.67+29.0%3 analysts
$61.77our TP
$56.35price
$72.67mean
$76

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.12; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%)
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.5%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.13bearish
IV90%elevated
Max Pain$50-11.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioFintech Solutions deposits91%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, 91% of our total deposits were sourced from Fintech Solutions business, primarily from Program sponsorship.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate bridge lending31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Real estate bridge lending ("REBL") is $2.26 billion of loans, or 31% of our total loan portfolio'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bancorp Bank, National Association...supervised and examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") as its primary regulator'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
2.6
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
3.4
Volatility
5.4
Beta
6.1
Elevated put/call: 2.12High IV: 90%Above max pain $50Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
3.8
52w Position
3.8
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.95Resistance $59.04

Price Targets

$53
$62
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.12; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $53.19. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.77 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $53.19. Stop-loss: $53.19.

What are the risks of investing in TBBK?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is TBBK overvalued or undervalued?

The Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBBK?

9 analysts cover TBBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does The Bancorp, Inc. do?The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide...

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into specialty lending (REBL 31%, institutional banking 27%, fintech loans 15% of loan portfolio). Total fintech fee income was $141.1M in 2025.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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