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ISTRInvestar Holding CorporationHold6.6·$28.69-1.71%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Investar combines a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak and cheap valuation relative to its growth with insider buying and positive momentum, but the stock has already reached its analyst target, leaving the engine's risk/reward gate failed and arguing against adding to the position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Attractive Valuation Vs GrowthStable
  • Analyst Target Already ReachedStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Investar Holding Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Investar Bank that provides a range of commercial banking products to individuals, professionals, and small to medium-sized businesses in south Louisiana, southeast Texas, and Alabama in the United States. The... Read more

$28.69+4.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#17 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.63%(5y avg 2.05%)Payout19.38%sustainable
Stop $27.80Target $29.95(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$33.00+15.0%3 analysts
$29.95our TP
$28.69price
$33.00mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Investar Holding Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 22, 2026 HIGH Item 4.01: Company dismissed BDO USA, P.C. as independent auditor June 17, 2026. BDO (via Horne LLP merger, Nov 2025) issued no adverse or qualified opinions for FY2025/2024; no disagreements reported prior to dismissal.

Generated 2026-07-08T21:03:53Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$403M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.7%
ROE8.6%
Rev Growth57.6%
Beta0.46
Dividend1.63%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans48%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 48% of our total loans at December 31, 2025 were commercial real estate loans'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial and industrial loans27%
    10-K Item 1: 'Commercial and industrial loans accounted for approximately 27% of our total loans at December 31, 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 4.01HIGH
    Company dismissed BDO USA, P.C. as independent auditor June 17, 2026. BDO (via Horne LLP merger, Nov 2025) issued no adverse or qualified opinions for FY2025/2024; no disagreements reported prior to dismissal.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the Second Amended and Restated 2017 Long-Term Incentive Compensation Plan (1,800,000 shares authorized) at the May 20, 2026 Annual Meeting. Routine equity plan approval, not a departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVESEC critical: EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.66Resistance $30.56

Price Targets

$28
$30
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ISTR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.95 (+4.4%), stop $27.80 (−3.2%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ISTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.95 (+4.4% upside). Target $29.95 (+4.4%), stop $27.80 (−3.2%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $27.80.

What are the risks of investing in ISTR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is ISTR overvalued or undervalued?

Investar Holding Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ISTR?

9 analysts cover ISTR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Investar Holding Corporation do?Investar Holding Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Investar Bank that provides a range of commercial...

Investar Holding Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Investar Bank that provides a range of commercial banking products to individuals, professionals, and small to medium-sized businesses in south Louisiana, southeast Texas, and Alabama in the United States. The company offers various deposit products and services, such as savings, checking, money market, and individual retirement accounts, as well as various certificates of deposit; debit and credit cards; internet, mobile, and video banking services; and reciprocal deposit products. It also provides commercial real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, including working capital lines of credit and equipment loans; construction and development loans comprising loans for the construction of commercial projects, and single family residential and multifamily properties; one-to-four family residential real estate loans, which includes second mortgage loans; and consumer loans, such as secured or unsecured loans, installment or term loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, business purpose loans, and auto loans, as well as loans for personal, family, and household purposes. In addition, the company offers treasury management products, including remote deposit capture, virtual vaults, positive pay, automated clearing house origination, credit card processing, wire transfers, investment sweep accounts, and business internet banking services. Further, it provides various other banking services, such as cashier's checks, direct deposit of payroll and social security checks, night depository, bank-by-mail, ATMs with deposit automation, electronic statements, interactive teller machines, online account opening, online bill payment, online fund transfer, Zelle money transfer solutions, and mobile wallet payment option services. Investar Holding Corporation was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

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