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TBBKThe Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.7·$56.50+2.82%
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The Bancorp, Inc. (TBBK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $56.50, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%).

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into... Read more

$56.50+9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#96 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $53.54Target $61.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$72.67+28.6%3 analysts
$61.77our TP
$56.50price
$72.67mean
$76

Sell if holding. At $56.50, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%)
Thin upside margin: 9.3%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.5%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV71%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioFintech Solutions deposits91%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, 91% of our total deposits were sourced from Fintech Solutions business, primarily from Program sponsorship.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate bridge lending31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Real estate bridge lending ("REBL") is $2.26 billion of loans, or 31% of our total loan portfolio'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bancorp Bank, National Association...supervised and examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") as its primary regulator'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
3.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.95Resistance $57.01

Price Targets

$54
$62
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $56.50, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $53.54. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.77 (+9.3% upside). Prior stop was $53.54. Stop-loss: $53.54.

What are the risks of investing in TBBK?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.3%.

Is TBBK overvalued or undervalued?

The Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBBK?

9 analysts cover TBBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does The Bancorp, Inc. do?The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide...

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into specialty lending (REBL 31%, institutional banking 27%, fintech loans 15% of loan portfolio). Total fintech fee income was $141.1M in 2025.

Related stocks: GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · NIC (Nicolet Bankshares Inc.) · WSBC (WesBanco, Inc.)
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