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The Bancorp, Inc. (TBBK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $59.34, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%).

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into... Read more

$59.34+4.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#114 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $55.70Target $61.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$72.67+22.5%3 analysts
$61.77our TP
$59.34price
$72.67mean
$76

Sell if holding. At $59.34, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.1%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.5%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.23bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$115+93.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioFintech Solutions deposits91%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, 91% of our total deposits were sourced from Fintech Solutions business, primarily from Program sponsorship.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate bridge lending31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Real estate bridge lending ("REBL") is $2.26 billion of loans, or 31% of our total loan portfolio'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bancorp Bank, National Association...supervised and examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") as its primary regulator'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $55.24Resistance $63.40

Price Targets

$56
$62
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $59.34, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $55.70. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.77 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $55.70. Stop-loss: $55.70.

What are the risks of investing in TBBK?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.1%.

Is TBBK overvalued or undervalued?

The Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBBK?

9 analysts cover TBBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does The Bancorp, Inc. do?The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide...

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into specialty lending (REBL 31%, institutional banking 27%, fintech loans 15% of loan portfolio). Total fintech fee income was $141.1M in 2025.

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