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TBBKThe Bancorp, Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$50.42
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The Bancorp offers strong financial quality — 30% return on equity, 43% net margins, and a Piotroski health score of 8 out of 9 — at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 6.9x, but a high put-to-call ratio of 2.38, three consecutive earnings misses, and a concentration of 91% of deposits from fintech solutions clients represent meaningful near-term risks.

Thesis pillars

  • Fintech Deposit Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • High Roe Quality Profile→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Discount→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Bancorp, Inc. (TBBK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $49.09. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $50.42. Engine's entry $49.09 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC.

The Bancorp is a Delaware fintech-focused bank holding company operating through The Bancorp Bank, N.A. (OCC-regulated) in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, partnering with fintech companies to issue prepaid/debit cards, process payments, and originate sponsored loans. The bank earned... Read more

$50.42+28.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#144 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
Entry $49.09(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $46.35Target $64.60(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst consensus$76.00+50.7%3 analysts
$64.60our TP
$50.42price
$76.00mean
$88

Wait for pullback to $49.09. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $50.42. Engine's entry $49.09 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About The Bancorp, Inc.

About The Bancorp, Inc.

The Bancorp Bank, N.A., the wholly-owned banking subsidiary of The Bancorp, Inc., held $9.35 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, with 91% of deposits sourced from its Fintech Solutions partners — primarily millions of small prepaid and debit card account balances held under program sponsorship arrangements. Supervised by the OCC as primary federal regulator and the FDIC as deposit insurer, the bank operates two revenue-generating divisions: Fintech Solutions and Credit Solutions, with 733 full-time employees.

Fintech Solutions generates the majority of fee income, totaling $141.1 million in 2025 — a 21% increase from $116.8 million in 2024 — through prepaid and debit card program sponsorship ($103.5 million), ACH and payment processing ($21.0 million), and sponsored lending ($16.6 million). Gross dollar volume on prepaid and debit cards reached $178.21 billion in 2025, up 17% from $152.64 billion in 2024, with the fintech loan portfolio growing 142% to $1.10 billion (15% of total loans). Credit Solutions provides balance sheet diversification through real estate bridge lending ($2.26 billion, 31% of total loans), institutional banking including SBLOCs and IBLOCs ($1.96 billion, 27%), small business lending ($1.01 billion, 14%), and fleet leasing ($685.4 million, 9%). Competitors in prepaid and debit card banking include Pathward Financial and Coastal Community Bank.

Show full overview

Funding stability at The Bancorp is tightly linked to its fintech partner network, with 91% of deposits sourced from those relationships. A critical regulatory boundary sits at $10 billion in total assets: at $9.35 billion at December 31, 2025, the company manages its balance sheet to remain below this threshold and retain its small-issuer Durbin Amendment exemption. If total assets exceed $10 billion at calendar year-end, the company would face reduced interchange fee caps, CFPB direct examination authority, and the loss of fee-sharing provisions in certain prepaid card partner agreements that include termination rights upon crossing the threshold.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From The Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 28%
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn43.6%
ROE29.6%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioFintech Solutions deposits91%
    10-K Item 1: '91% of our total deposits were sourced from Fintech Solutions business, primarily from Program sponsorship.'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioreal estate bridge lending31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Real estate bridge lending ("REBL") is $2.26 billion of loans, or 31% of our total loan portfolio'
  • HIGHregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'supervised and examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") as its primary regulator'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.3
Bollinger
2.8
Support Resistance
2.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings today

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Earnings Growth
4.8
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $47.01Resistance $51.81

Price Targets

$46
$49
$65
A.Upside+28.1%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBBK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $49.09. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $50.42. Engine's entry $49.09 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $64.60 (+28.1%), stop $46.35 (−8.8%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.60 (+28.1% upside). Target $64.60 (+28.1%), stop $46.35 (−8.8%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Stop-loss: $46.35.

What are the risks of investing in TBBK?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Weak growth.

Is TBBK overvalued or undervalued?

The Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TBBK?

9 analysts cover TBBK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $76.

What does The Bancorp, Inc. do?The Bancorp is a Delaware fintech-focused bank holding company operating through The Bancorp Bank, N.A. (OCC-regulated)...

The Bancorp is a Delaware fintech-focused bank holding company operating through The Bancorp Bank, N.A. (OCC-regulated) in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, partnering with fintech companies to issue prepaid/debit cards, process payments, and originate sponsored loans. The bank earned $141.1 million in total fintech fee income in 2025 with $9.35 billion in total assets, with 91% of deposits sourced from fintech partner relationships.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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