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SCSCScanSource, Inc.Sell5.4·$51.63+0.19%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ScanSource combines a cheap, cash-generative valuation and rising analyst estimates with a weak-growth headwind and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Growth HeadwindStable
  • Cheap Valuation With Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak With Rising EstimatesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ScanSource, Inc. (SCSC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%).

ScanSource, Inc. engages in the distribution of technology products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Specialty Technology Solutions, and Intelisys & Advisory. The Specialty Technology Solutions segment offers mobility and... Read more

$51.63+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 7 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.26%
Stop $49.09Target $52.08(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$54.67+5.9%3 analysts
$52.08our TP
$51.63price
$54.67mean
$43
$71

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — ScanSource, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-08T22:53:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta1.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$40-22.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierCisco and Zebra
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant percentage of our net sales relates to products we purchase from relatively few suppliers, including Cisco and Zebra.'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States and Canada92%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, approximately 7.9% of our revenue was derived from our operations outside of the United States and Canada.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    SEVP and Chief Information Officer Rachel Hayden was notified her role will be eliminated effective June 8, 2026; she is entitled to severance benefits under the company's Executive Severance Plan. Reason cited: role elimination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.1
Revenue Growth
4.7
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.17Resistance $53.14

Price Targets

$49
$52
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCSC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $49.09. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.08 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $49.09. Stop-loss: $49.09.

What are the risks of investing in SCSC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is SCSC overvalued or undervalued?

ScanSource, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCSC?

9 analysts cover SCSC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $55.

What does ScanSource, Inc. do?ScanSource, Inc. engages in the distribution of technology products and solutions in the United States and...

ScanSource, Inc. engages in the distribution of technology products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Specialty Technology Solutions, and Intelisys & Advisory. The Specialty Technology Solutions segment offers mobility and barcode, including mobile computing; barcode scanners and imagers, radio frequency identification devices, barcode printing and related services; point of sale systems and integrated pos software platforms; payment terminals, such as self-service kiosks, payment terminals and mobile payment devices; physical security comprising video surveillance and analytics, and video management software and access control; networking, such as switching, and routing and wireless products and software; communications, including voice, video, communication platform integration, and contact center solutions; managed connectivity and wireless enablement solutions. This segment offers applications that have evolved from traditional uses, such as inventory control, materials handling, distribution, shipping and warehouse management, and healthcare applications. The Intelisys & Advisory segment offers connectivity and software-defined networking, cx (unified communications as a service and contact center as a service), cloud/data center, and security, managed AI, and wireless and IOT. This segment helps channel sales partners service various end users, including businesses of all sizes from very small business to enterprise size businesses. It serves manufacturing, warehouse and distribution, retail and e-commerce, hospitality, transportation and logistics, government, education and healthcare, and other industries. ScanSource, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Greenville, South Carolina.

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