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AVTAvnet, Inc.Sell5.9·$93.57
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

While the company has beaten earnings for four consecutive quarters and posted 34% revenue growth, poor free cash flow conversion at 42% of net income and quality metrics below the minimum acceptable floor combine with a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.19-to-1 to make the current price unattractive.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth Offset→Stable
  • Poor Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Beat Streak Constrained By Quality↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 14, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Avnet, Inc. (AVT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.57: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality.

Avnet, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively, the "Company" or "Avnet"), is a leading global electronic component technology distributor and solutions provider that has served customers' evolving needs for more than a century. Founded in 1921, the Company works... Read more

$93.57-3.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 7 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.68%
IncomeYield1.59%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout34.91%sustainable
Stop $87.02Analyst target $90.31(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$106.25+13.6%4 analysts
$93.57price
$106.25mean
$80
$120

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.57: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.5% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.3
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$7.7B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth47.7%
Beta1.08
Dividend1.59%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$135+44.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.6
Operating Margin
1.5
Roe
2.2
Roa
2.6
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -39% FCF/NIQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
8.6
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $85.66Resistance $108.63

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.5%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.57: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $87.02. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVT stock price target?

Analyst target $90.31 reached (−3.5% from $93.57); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $87.02. Stop-loss: $87.02.

What are the risks of investing in AVT?

Target reached (-3.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is AVT overvalued or undervalued?

Avnet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.3 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVT?

9 analysts cover AVT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Avnet, Inc. do?Avnet, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively, the "Company" or "Avnet"), is a leading global electronic...

Avnet, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively, the "Company" or "Avnet"), is a leading global electronic component technology distributor and solutions provider that has served customers' evolving needs for more than a century. Founded in 1921, the Company works with electronic component manufacturers (suppliers) in every major electronic component segment to serve customers in more than 140 countries.

Related stocks: ARW (Arrow Electronics, Inc.) · SNX (TD SYNNEX Corporation) · SCSC (ScanSource, Inc.) · NSIT (Insight Enterprises, Inc.) · CNXN (PC Connection, Inc.)
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