Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ARW stock price target?

Take-profit $189.80 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $172.61.

Q: What are the risks of investing in ARW?

Target reached (-29.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0); Target reached (-29.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Q: Is ARW overvalued or undervalued?

Arrow Electronics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about ARW?

13 analysts cover ARW with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $153.

Breakout setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Arrow Electronics distributes electronic components (global components, ~70% of sales) and enterprise computing solutions (global ECS, ~30%) to OEMs, EMS, VARs, and MSPs across 85+ countries with ~22,230 employees. No single customer exceeded 2% and no single supplier exceeded... Read more

$183.55+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 5 Electronics & Computer Distribution

Stop $172.61Target $189.80(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1

Analyst target$152.50-16.9%4 analysts

$189.80our TP

$183.55price

$152.50mean

$122

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $183.55: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-29.5% upside)

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2

P/E (Fwd)11.7

Mkt Cap$9.6B

EV/EBITDA12.0

Profit Mgn1.9%

ROE9.1%

Rev Growth20.1%

Beta1.00

DividendNone

Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.32bullish

IV60%elevated

Max Pain$120-34.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.315%1.09

Quality2.615%0.39

Growth8.815%1.32

Momentum6.810%0.68

Sentiment4.010%0.40

Insider Activity4.110%0.41

Peer Rank4.510%0.45

Technical Setup4.55%0.23

Risk Profile6.45%0.32

Catalyst7.15%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.64

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Net Margin

0.9

Roa

1.5

Operating Margin

1.5

Roe

3.0

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

5.1

Piotroski F

6.7

Earnings quality RED FLAG: -14% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate

RSI

62 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $144.83Resistance $193.67

Price Targets

$173

$190

A.Upside+3.4%

A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.5% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ARW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $183.55: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $172.61. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $189.80 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $172.61. Stop-loss: $172.61.

What are the risks of investing in ARW?

Target reached (-29.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is ARW overvalued or undervalued?

Arrow Electronics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARW?

13 analysts cover ARW with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $153.

What does Arrow Electronics, Inc. do?Arrow Electronics distributes electronic components (global components, ~70% of sales) and enterprise computing...