Skip to main content
ARWArrow Electronics, Inc.Sell6.1·$230.89+1.81%
Open full analysis

Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $230.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Arrow Electronics distributes electronic components to OEMs and EMS providers through its global components segment (70% of 2025 sales) and enterprise computing solutions to VARs and MSPs through global ECS (30%), serving over 85 countries via 140+ sales facilities. The company... Read more

$230.89-1.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 5 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.28%
Stop $214.73Target $228.63(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$219.50-4.9%4 analysts
$228.63our TP
$230.89price
$219.50mean
$165
$260

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $230.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Arrow Electronics, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: global components (70.0%)
Target reached (-19.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$11.6B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth39.0%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$185-19.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductglobal components70%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 70% of the company's sales were from global components'
  • MEDIUMProductsemiconductor products50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales of semiconductor products and related services represented approximately 50%, 53%, and 60%, of the company's consolidated sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.1
Roa
1.7
Operating Margin
1.7
Fcf Quality
2.9
Roe
3.8
Current Ratio
4.7
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 36% FCF/NI
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $201.63Resistance $233.30

Price Targets

$215
$229
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $230.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $214.73. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $228.63 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $214.73. Stop-loss: $214.73.

What are the risks of investing in ARW?

Concentration risk — Product: global components (70.0%); Target reached (-19.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is ARW overvalued or undervalued?

Arrow Electronics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARW?

13 analysts cover ARW with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $220.

What does Arrow Electronics, Inc. do?Arrow Electronics distributes electronic components to OEMs and EMS providers through its global components segment...

Arrow Electronics distributes electronic components to OEMs and EMS providers through its global components segment (70% of 2025 sales) and enterprise computing solutions to VARs and MSPs through global ECS (30%), serving over 85 countries via 140+ sales facilities. The company employs approximately 22,230 people worldwide and generated sales where no single customer exceeded 2% of 2025 consolidated revenue.

Related stocks: SNX (TD SYNNEX Corporation) · CNXN (PC Connection, Inc.) · AVT (Avnet, Inc.) · NSIT (Insight Enterprises, Inc.)
Home Stocks ARW

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga7d agoAnalyst
Benzinga11d ago
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga33d agoAnalyst
Benzinga38d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d agoEarnings
Benzinga39d agoEarnings
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga63d agoAnalyst