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SCSCScanSource, Inc.Hold6.3·$53.27-5.61%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ScanSource combines a cheap, cash-generative valuation and rising analyst estimates with a weak-growth headwind and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Growth HeadwindDeteriorating
  • Cheap Valuation With Cash ConversionImproving
  • Earnings Beat Streak With Rising EstimatesImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ScanSource, Inc. (SCSC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

ScanSource, Inc. engages in the distribution of technology products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Specialty Technology Solutions, and Intelisys & Advisory. The Specialty Technology Solutions segment offers mobility and... Read more

$53.27-10.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 7 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.45%
Stop $50.55Target $65.44(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$57.00+7.0%2 analysts
$65.44our TP
$53.27price
$57.00mean
$43
$71

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth17.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierCisco and Zebra
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant percentage of our net sales relates to products we purchase from relatively few suppliers, including Cisco and Zebra.'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States and Canada92%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, approximately 7.9% of our revenue was derived from our operations outside of the United States and Canada.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    SEVP and Chief Information Officer Rachel Hayden was notified her role will be eliminated effective June 8, 2026; she is entitled to severance benefits under the company's Executive Severance Plan. Reason cited: role elimination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.41Resistance $66.78

Price Targets

$51
$65
A.Upside-10.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCSC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $65.44 (+22.8%), stop $50.55 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.44 (-10.9% upside). Target $65.44 (+22.8%), stop $50.55 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $50.55.

What are the risks of investing in SCSC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States and Canada (92.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SCSC overvalued or undervalued?

ScanSource, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SCSC?

9 analysts cover SCSC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $57.

What does ScanSource, Inc. do?ScanSource, Inc. engages in the distribution of technology products and solutions in the United States and...

ScanSource, Inc. engages in the distribution of technology products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Specialty Technology Solutions, and Intelisys & Advisory. The Specialty Technology Solutions segment offers mobility and barcode, including mobile computing; barcode scanners and imagers, radio frequency identification devices, barcode printing and related services; point of sale systems and integrated pos software platforms; payment terminals, such as self-service kiosks, payment terminals and mobile payment devices; physical security comprising video surveillance and analytics, and video management software and access control; networking, such as switching, and routing and wireless products and software; communications, including voice, video, communication platform integration, and contact center solutions; managed connectivity and wireless enablement solutions. This segment offers applications that have evolved from traditional uses, such as inventory control, materials handling, distribution, shipping and warehouse management, and healthcare applications. The Intelisys & Advisory segment offers connectivity and software-defined networking, cx (unified communications as a service and contact center as a service), cloud/data center, and security, managed AI, and wireless and IOT. This segment helps channel sales partners service various end users, including businesses of all sizes from very small business to enterprise size businesses. It serves manufacturing, warehouse and distribution, retail and e-commerce, hospitality, transportation and logistics, government, education and healthcare, and other industries. ScanSource, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Greenville, South Carolina.

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