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PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.87 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

PC Connection, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various information technology (IT) solutions worldwide. It operates in three segments: Connection Enterprise Solutions, Connection Business Solutions, and Connection Public Sector Solutions. The company offers IT... Read more

$62.87+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 5 Electronics & Computer Distribution
Stop $59.83Target $64.60(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$76.00+20.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.87 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta0.84
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.83bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$45-28.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $58.79Resistance $66.66

Price Targets

$60
$65
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNXN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.87 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $59.83. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNXN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.60 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $59.83. Stop-loss: $59.83.

What are the risks of investing in CNXN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CNXN overvalued or undervalued?

PC Connection, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNXN?

6 analysts cover CNXN with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $76.

What does PC Connection, Inc. do?PC Connection, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various information technology (IT) solutions worldwide....

PC Connection, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various information technology (IT) solutions worldwide. It operates in three segments: Connection Enterprise Solutions, Connection Business Solutions, and Connection Public Sector Solutions. The company offers IT solutions, including computer systems, data center solutions, and artificial intelligence; a portfolio of managed services and professional services; services related to the design, configuration, and implementation of IT solutions; and cybersecurity, digital workspace, modern infrastructure, multicloud, and supply chain and lifecycle solutions and services. It also distributes accessories, cable and adapters, computer parts, computers, conferencing and AV products, electronics, media and supplies, monitors and projectors, networking products, office equipment, power products, printers and supplies, servers and accessories, software, and storage products; hardware, including devices and peripherals; notebooks/mobility products, desktops, communication products, displays, and sound products; and cloud solutions. The company markets its products and services through its websites. It serves large enterprise customers; small to medium-sized businesses, including small office/home office customers; healthcare, manufacturing, and retail industries; federal, state, and local government; educational institutions, including K-12 and higher education; medium-to-large corporations through outbound inside and field sales, digital and web advertising, and targeted marketing programs to specific market segments. PC Connection, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Merrimack, New Hampshire.

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