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SABRSabre CorporationSell6.0·$1.95-3.94%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sabre pairs a bullish golden-cross breakout and a cheap growth-adjusted valuation with a flagged earnings-quality concern and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to maintain rather than add to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Valuation Vs GrowthStable
  • Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • Golden Cross BreakoutStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sabre Corporation (SABR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00.

Sabre Corporation operates a global business-to-business travel marketplace, Sabre Mosaic Marketplace, connecting airlines, hotels, car rental brands, and other travel suppliers with online and offline travel agencies, travel management companies, and corporate travel... Read more

$1.95+10.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#37 of 111 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield16.99%
Stop $1.81Target $2.16(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$1.99+2.1%6 analysts
$2.16our TP
$1.95price
$1.99mean
$2
$2

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: small number of airlines
Target reached (-11.1% upside)
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$842M
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersmall number of airlines
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business depends on a relatively small number of airlines for a substantial portion of its revenue, and all of our businesses are highly dependent on airline ticket volumes.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmall number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are subject to a certain degree of revenue concentration among a portion of our customer base. Because of this concentration among a small number of customers, if an event were to adversely affect one of these customers, it could have a material impact on our business.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 5.02LOW
    Scott Hortenstine was designated principal accounting officer and VP/Controller effective July 1, 2026, succeeding Jami Kindle, who continues as principal accounting officer through June 30, 2026. Planned, clean transition.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Incentive Compensation Plan and 2026 Director Equity Compensation Plan at the April 29, 2026 Annual Meeting, both effective April 29, 2026. Routine equity-plan approvals; no executive departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.07LOW
    Sabre held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on April 29, 2026, where stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus and Director Equity Compensation Plans among other proposals.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Volatile — 7.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
1.8
Short Interest
2.6
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
3.6
Beta
7.2
Elevated put/call: 4.00High IV: 69%Above max pain $0Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.1
Support Resistance
4.0
Bollinger
4.2
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Speculative
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1.57Resistance $2.20

Price Targets

$2
$2
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.1% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SABR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $1.81. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SABR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2.16 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $1.81. Stop-loss: $1.81.

What are the risks of investing in SABR?

Concentration risk — Customer: small number of airlines; Target reached (-11.1% upside); Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is SABR overvalued or undervalued?

Sabre Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SABR?

12 analysts cover SABR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $2.

What does Sabre Corporation do?Sabre Corporation operates a global business-to-business travel marketplace, Sabre Mosaic Marketplace, connecting...

Sabre Corporation operates a global business-to-business travel marketplace, Sabre Mosaic Marketplace, connecting airlines, hotels, car rental brands, and other travel suppliers with online and offline travel agencies, travel management companies, and corporate travel departments through its global distribution system (GDS). The company also sells SaaS-based airline IT solutions including reservation systems and its SabreMosaic Airline Technology retailing platform, operating as a single reportable segment following the 2025 sale of its Hospitality Solutions business, with 4,650 employees worl

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