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ROKURoku, Inc.Sell5.8·$141.08-1.80%
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Roku, Inc. (ROKU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Sell(was: Hold)VALUE-TRAP 1/5AI GATE: BLOCKED Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $141.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, and Target (81.0%).

Roku is the leading TV streaming platform in the US, Canada, and Mexico by hours streamed, with Devices (streaming players, Roku-made TVs, audio) and Platform (digital advertising, subscriptions, content distribution) segments. With 145.6B streaming hours and 90M+ Streaming... Read more

$141.08+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.19%
Stop $131.26Target $145.90(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$148.07+5.0%27 analysts
$145.90our TP
$141.08price
$148.07mean
$95
$185

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $141.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, and Target (81.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Roku, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, and Target (81.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)106.4
P/E (Fwd)40.0
Mkt Cap$21.2B
EV/EBITDA50.1
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE7.8%
Rev Growth22.4%
Beta2.03
DividendNone
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerAmazon, Best Buy, Walmart, and Target81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, and Target collectively accounted for 81% of our Devices revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
9.0
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $115.00Resistance $148.88

Price Targets

$131
$146
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! News gate: 0 critical events on HOLD stock → SELL

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROKU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $141.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, and Target (81.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $131.26. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROKU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $145.90 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $131.26. Stop-loss: $131.26.

What are the risks of investing in ROKU?

Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, and Target (81.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ROKU overvalued or undervalued?

Roku, Inc. trades at a P/E of 106.4 (forward 40.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROKU?

38 analysts cover ROKU with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $148.

What does Roku, Inc. do?Roku is the leading TV streaming platform in the US, Canada, and Mexico by hours streamed, with Devices (streaming...

Roku is the leading TV streaming platform in the US, Canada, and Mexico by hours streamed, with Devices (streaming players, Roku-made TVs, audio) and Platform (digital advertising, subscriptions, content distribution) segments. With 145.6B streaming hours and 90M+ Streaming Households globally in 2025, revenue comes from advertising, device sales, and subscription fees.

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