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IMAXImax CorporationSell5.9·$50.52
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion and strong analyst sentiment stand out in an otherwise challenged picture: two consecutive and sizable earnings misses, revenue contracting at roughly 6%, an 18% short float, and the stock trading just 30 basis points below its near-term resistance target leave almost no reward for the risk of a new position at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cashflow Conversion→Stable
  • Consecutive Large Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • Revenue Contracting Six Percent→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Imax Corporation (IMAX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $50.52, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

$50.52+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#11 of 31 Entertainment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.94%
Stop $47.56Analyst target $52.20(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst consensus$60.00+18.8%12 analysts
$52.20Analyst target
$50.52price
$60.00mean
$65

Sell if holding. At $50.52, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/8 gates (news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.3%
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)66.5
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$70+38.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On August 19, 2026, IMAX Corporation (the "Company") and Robert D.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.6
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.1
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.05%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.24Resistance $55.01

Price Targets

$48
$52
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 1.05%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMAX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $50.52, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $47.56. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMAX stock price target?

Analyst target: $52.20 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $47.56. Stop-loss: $47.56.

What are the risks of investing in IMAX?

Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is IMAX overvalued or undervalued?

Imax Corporation trades at a P/E of 66.5 (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMAX?

20 analysts cover IMAX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Imax Corporation do?IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an...

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

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