Value
4.2/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 0.0 |
| P/S | 7.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 2.8 |
| PEG | 6.9 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 40.3x
- ▸PEG: 1.04
ROKU · Why this verdict
Why Roku (ROKU) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.6 |
| ROA | 1.0 |
| Gross margin | 4.8 |
| Op margin | 1.7 |
| Net margin | 2.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.7 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.1 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 336% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
8.1/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.1 |
- ▸Strong growth: 22% YoY
Momentum
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 3.5 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 10.0 |
| vol acceleration | 10.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
- ▸Volume surge (5.4x avg) on up move
Sentiment
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.9 |
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 5.4 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.59 (n=3)
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $82,169,793 (0.387% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.1 |
| quality rank | 4.6 |
| growth rank | 7.1 |
Technical
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 1.5 |
| 52w position | 9.3 |
| gap | 4.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.6 |
| days to cover | 7.8 |
| volatility | 0.3 |
| put call | 7.0 |
| implied vol | 3.4 |
| beta | 3.2 |
| debt equity | 9.2 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 7.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (7)
- MOMENTUM:7.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.80
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:47d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.5=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.49
Upside
-7.4%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 2.03>1.3
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:7.9>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.1; weakest: Insider at 3.4. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.1, Momentum at 7.9, and Sentiment at 7.6; the weakest are Insider at 3.4, Technical at 3.7, and Value at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.49 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.