Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.06: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality.
Red Cat Holdings is a U.S.-based provider of drone and robotic systems for defense and public safety, with products including the Black Widow/Teal 2 sUAS (selected for U.S. Army's Short Range Reconnaissance Program of Record in Nov 2024), the FANG FPV drone, FlightWave VTOL... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.06: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Futures Jump As Trump Announces Deal With Iran—SpaceX, TSMC, Micron, Red Cat In — benzinga Jun 15, 2026 positive
- NEWS Why Red Cat Shares Are Trading Higher On Monday? — benzinga Jun 15, 2026 positive
- NEWS Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Futures Gain As Trump Announces Deal With Iran—SpaceX, Tower Semiconductor, Micron In F — benzinga Jun 15, 2026 positive
- NEWS Red Cat Stock Is Climbing Thursday: What's Driving The Action? — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
- NEWS 8 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. Federal Government military agencies10-K Item 1: 'Our sales and marketing efforts have been focused on developing relationships with the military agencies of the U.S. Federal Government.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -138.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.06: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.23. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $19.14 (+58.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.23. Stop-loss: $11.23.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Federal Government military agencies; Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -31.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover RCAT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.
What does Red Cat Holdings, Inc. do?Red Cat Holdings is a U.S.-based provider of drone and robotic systems for defense and public safety, with products...
Red Cat Holdings is a U.S.-based provider of drone and robotic systems for defense and public safety, with products including the Black Widow/Teal 2 sUAS (selected for U.S. Army's Short Range Reconnaissance Program of Record in Nov 2024), the FANG FPV drone, FlightWave VTOL fixed-wing ISR aircraft, and Blue Ops uncrewed surface vessels. Sales are primarily to U.S. military agencies; the company had 244 employees as of December 31, 2025 and an accumulated deficit of $196.8M. Revenue is transactional with no long-term purchase commitments.