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PAMPampa Energia S.A.Buy Wait7.2·$87.03-1.64%
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Pampa Energia S.A. (PAM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Wait for pullback to $85.16. BUY gates pass at $87.03, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $85.16 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas; Generation; Petrochemicals; and Holding, Transportation and Others segments. It generates electricity through thermal plants, hydroelectric plants, and wind farms... Read more

$87.03+20.9% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#1 of 9 Conglomerates
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-16.16%
Entry $85.16(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $78.35Target $101.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1Setup A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$116.23+33.5%11 analysts
$101.12our TP
$87.03price
$116.23mean
$140

Wait for pullback to $85.16. BUY gates pass at $87.03, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $85.16 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn20.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth38.4%
Beta-0.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$125+43.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.01Resistance $90.19

Price Targets

$78
$85
$101
A.Upside+16.2%
A.R:R1.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $85.16. BUY gates pass at $87.03, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $85.16 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $101.12 (+16.2%), stop $78.35 (−11.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $101.12 (+20.9% upside). Target $101.12 (+16.2%), stop $78.35 (−11.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $78.35.

Is PAM overvalued or undervalued?

Pampa Energia S.A. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAM?

11 analysts cover PAM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Pampa Energia S.A. do?Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas;...

Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas; Generation; Petrochemicals; and Holding, Transportation and Others segments. It generates electricity through thermal plants, hydroelectric plants, and wind farms with a 5,472 megawatt (MW) installed capacity. The company also explores for and produces oil and gas in the provinces of Neuquén and Río Negro. In addition, it produces petrochemicals, such as styrene, synthetic rubber, and polystyrene. Further, the company operates and maintains a 22,445 km high-voltage electricity transmission network in Argentina. Additionally, it holds a concession for the transportation of natural gas with 9,248 km of gas pipelines in the center, west, and south of Argentina; and processes and sells natural gas liquids in Bahía Blanca in the Province of Buenos Aires, as well as offers related advisory services. Pampa Energía S.A. was formerly known as Pampa Holding S.A. and changed its name to Pampa Energía S.A. in September 2008. The company was incorporated in 1945 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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