Valmont Industries has a perfect Piotroski financial-strength score of 9 out of 9 and has beaten earnings in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but trades significantly above its analyst consensus price target with a put-to-call ratio of 4.56, heavy steel commodity exposure of 50% of inputs, and recent leadership changes signaling potential operational uncertainty.
Thesis pillars
- Steel Commodity Concentration Risk↑Improving
- Perfect Piotroski Financial Health→Stable
- Solid Recent Earnings Beat Record↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026
Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $432.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Commodity: steel (50.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure structures (utility, lighting, transportation, telecom, solar) and Valley-brand center-pivot irrigation equipment across two segments, with 10,791 employees and a $1.65 billion backlog at December 27, 2025. Revenue flows from direct... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $432.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Commodity: steel (50.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 108d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Valmont Industries, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS VMI SWOT Analysis: Strong Financial Performance Amidst Geopoliti - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Valmont Industries (NYSE:VMI) Lowered to Hold Rating by Zacks Research - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Valmont Industries, Inc. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:VMI) 2026-07-21 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Why Is Valmont Industries Stock Trending Right Now - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS Valmont to Host Investor Day Outlining Growth Strategy - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. electric utility industry10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our sales ... In fiscal 2025, our sales to the U.S. electric utility industry were approximately $1.5 billion'
- MEDIUMGeographicinternational sales28%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 28% of our fiscal 2025 net sales occurring outside the U.S.'
- HIGHCommoditysteel50%10-K Item 1A: 'the cost of steel has accounted for approximately 50% of net sales on average'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUMJohn Schwietz appointed EVP, CFO and Corporate Secretary effective April 8, 2026, succeeding Thomas Liguori. Schwietz joined Valmont in 2009 and most recently served as President – International Agriculture.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOWCompensation terms for newly appointed CFO John Schwietz disclosed per Human Resources Committee approval; details set forth in Exhibit 99.1. No new departure or appointment disclosed.SEC filing →
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02LOWSeparation and release agreement entered May 26, 2026 with former CFO Thomas Liguori. Liguori to provide consulting until December 26, 2026 under confidentiality and restrictive covenants; compensation per agreement terms.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $432.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Commodity: steel (50.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $414.75. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $519.14 (+20.0% upside). Prior stop was $414.75. Stop-loss: $414.75.
Concentration risk — Commodity: steel (50.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.
Valmont Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover VMI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $611.
What does Valmont Industries, Inc. do?Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure structures (utility, lighting, transportation, telecom, solar) and...
Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure structures (utility, lighting, transportation, telecom, solar) and Valley-brand center-pivot irrigation equipment across two segments, with 10,791 employees and a $1.65 billion backlog at December 27, 2025. Revenue flows from direct sales and commissioned agents in Infrastructure, and through approximately 650 dealer locations globally in Agriculture.