Skip to main content
VMIValmont Industries, Inc.Sell5.4·$535.64+0.34%
Open full analysis

Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $535.64 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure products (utility structures, lighting/transportation, solar trackers, telecom towers, coatings) and Valley-brand center pivot irrigation equipment across 80+ facilities on six continents. 28% of fiscal 2025 net sales were... Read more

$535.64+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 9 Conglomerates
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.80%
IncomeYield0.54%(5y avg 0.81%)Payout15.63%sustainable
Stop $503.80Target $537.91(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$545.25+1.8%4 analysts
$537.91our TP
$535.64price
$545.25mean
$520
$600

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $535.64 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.8
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$10.4B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE22.2%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta1.35
Dividend0.54%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C7.73bearish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. electric utility industry
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales of support structures is to the electric utility industry. In fiscal 2025, our sales to the U.S. electric utility industry were approximately $1.5 billion'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 4.01HIGH
    Valmont's Audit Committee approved appointment of KPMG LLP as new independent auditor effective FY ending December 26, 2026. Previous auditor dismissed effective same date. No disagreement or reportable event with KPMG during prior fiscal years through March 3, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    John Schwietz appointed as EVP, CFO and Corporate Secretary effective April 8, 2026, succeeding Thomas Liguori. Schwietz joined Valmont in 2009 and most recently served as President–International Agriculture. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Valmont filed compensation details for new CFO John Schwietz as approved by the Human Resources Committee. Routine compensatory arrangement disclosure; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Paul T. Maass as new director on February 22, 2026, expanding the board to eleven members. Routine board addition; no departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVESEC critical: Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $485.29Resistance $548.89

Price Targets

$504
$538
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VMI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $535.64 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $503.80. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $537.91 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $503.80. Stop-loss: $503.80.

What are the risks of investing in VMI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is VMI overvalued or undervalued?

Valmont Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.8 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VMI?

11 analysts cover VMI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $545.

What does Valmont Industries, Inc. do?Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure products (utility structures, lighting/transportation, solar trackers,...

Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure products (utility structures, lighting/transportation, solar trackers, telecom towers, coatings) and Valley-brand center pivot irrigation equipment across 80+ facilities on six continents. 28% of fiscal 2025 net sales were international; U.S. electric utility industry sales were approximately $1.5B in fiscal 2025. Business does not depend on any single customer.

Related stocks: PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) · DLX (Deluxe Corporation) · SEB (Seaboard Corporation) · OTTR (Otter Tail Corporation) · MMM (3M Company)
Home Stocks VMI

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus48d ago
Yahoo Finance61d ago
MarketBeat40d agoEarnings
MarketBeat40d ago
MarketBeat48d ago
The Motley Fool55d ago
GuruFocus55d ago
MarketBeat55d ago
MarketBeat55d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus55d ago
GuruFocus55d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative55d agoEarnings
MarketBeat63d agoEarnings
MarketBeat42d ago
MarketBeat46d ago
GuruFocus61d ago
Investing.com39d ago
MarketBeat39d ago
MSN36d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat58d ago
Loading more...