Value
9.1/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.0 |
| P/S | 8.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.9 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 6.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.15
- ▸Attractively valued
PAM · Why this verdict
Why Pampa Energia (PAM) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.0 |
| ROA | 2.2 |
| Gross margin | 2.4 |
| Op margin | 7.7 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.1 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong margins: 20%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -175% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 38% YoY
Momentum
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 7.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.0 |
| Price target | 9.2 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 41%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 3.1 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $32,263,166 (0.733% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
6.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.5 |
| quality rank | 5.6 |
| growth rank | 8.9 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.1 |
| support resistance | 6.0 |
| 52w position | 7.5 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.4 |
| days to cover | 9.5 |
| volatility | 3.1 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 1.7 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| debt equity | 8.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.10
- ▸High IV: 70%
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:3.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:3.7<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.99
Upside
+22.6%
Downside
7.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.4B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:3.0>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Insider at 3.4. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 9.1, and Sentiment at 7.2; the weakest are Insider at 3.4, Momentum at 3.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.99 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.