Skip to main content
CODID/B/A Compass Diversified HoldiSell5.0·$10.08+0.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Compass Diversified Holdings shows bullish insider buying and earnings growth accelerating even as revenue declines, but a failed risk-reward gate, no identifiable trading edge in a range-bound setup, and quality below the investability floor keep conviction and position sizing at essentially zero.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Growth Despite Revenue DeclineStable
  • Bullish Insider BuyingStable
  • Failed Asymmetry GateStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdi (CODI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.08: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.46; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Compass Diversified Holdings is a permanent-capital holding company that acquires and actively manages controlling stakes in small and middle-market branded-consumer and industrial businesses, including 5.11, BOA, PrimaLoft, The Honey Pot Co., Velocity Outdoor, Altor Solutions,... Read more

$10.08+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 19 Conglomerates
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-8.36%
IncomeYield9.45%(5y avg 5.97%)Payout404.62%at-risk
Stop $9.37Target $11.05(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$13.00+29.0%2 analysts
$11.05our TP
$10.08price
$13.00mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.08: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.46; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdi

About D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdi

Compass Diversified Holdings owns controlling stakes in eight branded-consumer and industrial businesses spanning tactical apparel (5.11), footwear closure systems (BOA), synthetic insulation (PrimaLoft), feminine care (The Honey Pot Co.), archery and hunting gear (Velocity Outdoor), molded foam packaging (Altor Solutions), engineered magnets (Arnold), and food-warming and home fragrance products (Sterno). A ninth business, luxury jeweler Lugano, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in November 2025 following an internal investigation and was deconsolidated from CODI's financial statements.

CODI's manager, CGM, runs day-to-day operations under a management services agreement for a quarterly fee, and the company generally acquires businesses generating up to $100 million in annual cash flow using its own permanent capital rather than deal-contingent third-party financing, which management says lets it close acquisitions faster and with more certainty than private-equity buyers. Ownership stakes in its subsidiaries range from roughly 85% (The Honey Pot Co.) to over 99% (Altor, Velocity Outdoor) on a primary basis, with minority co-investors, often including management, holding the remainder. The Lugano Investigation forced CODI to restate financial statements for fiscal years 2022 through the first three quarters of 2025, triggered forbearance agreements and covenant amendments with its credit agreement lenders, and led the company to suspend its common share distribution after April 2025; preferred share distributions continued through 2025. The SEC, DOJ and FINRA have all examined trading or disclosure issues connected to Lugano.

Show full overview

Beyond the Lugano-driven restatement and governance overhaul, CODI carries a direct financial exposure to its former subsidiary: the 10-K states plainly that the company's intercompany loan to Lugano is subject to risk of loss, since the anticipated value of the collateral securing that loan is less than the loan's outstanding value, and CODI's secured position could be challenged or subordinated within the bankruptcy proceeding. CODI also agreed to provide Lugano up to $12.0 million in debtor-in-possession financing, though Lugano ultimately determined it did not need the funds. Separately, the NYSE has flagged CODI's stock with a below-compliance indicator for missing its fiscal 2025 annual meeting, a governance lapse tied to the same investigation.

See also: Industrials · Conglomerates

From D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdi's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)36.5
Mkt Cap$768M
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn-12.3%
ROE-53.2%
Rev Growth-5.9%
Beta1.26
Dividend9.45%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.46bearish
IV103%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyLugano (bankrupt former subsidiary, intercompany loan)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our intercompany loan to Lugano is subject to risk of loss.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
8.2

Unprofitable operations — net margin -12.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.9
Operating Margin
1.7
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
4.7
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.0
Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
1.2
Days To Cover
6.0
Beta
6.0
Short Interest
7.0
Elevated put/call: 2.46High IV: 103%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Macd
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.60Resistance $11.71

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CODI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.08: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.46; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.37. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CODI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.05 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $9.37. Stop-loss: $9.37.

What are the risks of investing in CODI?

Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is CODI overvalued or undervalued?

D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdi trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 36.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CODI?

11 analysts cover CODI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdi do?Compass Diversified Holdings is a permanent-capital holding company that acquires and actively manages controlling...

Compass Diversified Holdings is a permanent-capital holding company that acquires and actively manages controlling stakes in small and middle-market branded-consumer and industrial businesses, including 5.11, BOA, PrimaLoft, The Honey Pot Co., Velocity Outdoor, Altor Solutions, Arnold, and Sterno. Following an investigation into former subsidiary Lugano, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and was deconsolidated in November 2025, the company restated multiple years of financial statements, identified material weaknesses in internal controls, and suspended its common share distribution in 202

Related stocks: PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) · DLX (Deluxe Corporation) · GHC (Graham Holdings Company) · SEB (Seaboard Corporation) · OTTR (Otter Tail Corporation)
Home Stocks CODI

Latest news

No recent news