Graham Holdings combines a strong earnings beat record averaging approximately 19 percentage points above consensus with powerful technical momentum in a breakout configuration, but the stock has substantially overrun analyst consensus estimates and the free cash flow conversion of 70% relative to net income warrants monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
- Technical Breakout With Strong Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Stock Substantially Above Analyst Consensus↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026
Graham Holdings Company (GHC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1162.04 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing).
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1162.04 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Graham Holdings Company
Latest news
- NEWS GHC|Graham Holdings Co|Price:1242.860|Chg%:+8.900 - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
- NEWS GHC|Graham Holdings Co|Price:1203.540|Chg%:-21.210 - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
- NEWS GHC|Graham Holdings Co|Price:1242.860|Chg%:+8.900 - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com positive
- NEWS Graham Holdings Co (GHC) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Graham Holdings Stock Surges 3 Percent Following Kaplan Unit Sale - HarianBasis.co — HarianBasis.co positive
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:45Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1162.04 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1112.46. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $935.00 reached (−19.5% from $1162.04); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $1112.46. Stop-loss: $1112.46.
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).
Graham Holdings Company trades at a P/E of 9.4 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GHC with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $1100.
What does Graham Holdings Company do?Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered...
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional Middle East and North Africa also delivers professional training programs across the entire region with a focus on the UAE and Saudi Arabia.