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OPFIOppFi Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$9.09-4.11%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OppFi is a high-ROE, cheaply-valued lender with a perfect earnings beat streak, but declining revenue, overbought momentum, and a risk/reward ratio that falls just short of the engine's buy-now threshold temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • High Roe Quality BusinessStable
  • Cheap Forward ValuationStable
  • Weak Revenue GrowthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OppFi Inc. (OPFI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.55 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in... Read more

$9.09+34.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#19 of 36 Credit Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Entry $9.55(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $8.70Target $11.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$14.00+54.0%3 analysts
$11.90our TP
$9.09price
$14.00mean
$16

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.55 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. V9 Gate blocked: 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (4.6) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=financial services 3/10). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — OppFi Inc.

Generated 2026-07-08T23:03:58Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.9
P/E (Fwd)4.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn19.4%
ROE62.1%
Rev Growth-2.2%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV122%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Revenue shrinking — -2.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
3.6
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Financial Services 3/10RecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.92Resistance $10.17

Price Targets

$9
$10
$12
A.Upside+30.9%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %3.3%
Max %6.6%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (4.6) - hard block
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPFI stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.55 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. V9 Gate blocked: 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (4.6) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $11.90 (+30.9%), stop $8.70 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.90 (+34.2% upside). Target $11.90 (+30.9%), stop $8.70 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $8.70.

What are the risks of investing in OPFI?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is OPFI overvalued or undervalued?

OppFi Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.9 (forward 4.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OPFI?

9 analysts cover OPFI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $14.

What does OppFi Inc. do?OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United...

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

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