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NTSTNetSTREIT Corp.Sell6.2·$19.64-0.46%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NetSTREIT is the industry growth leader in retail REITs with 24% revenue growth and an elite Rule of 40 score of 93, exceptional cash conversion at 1000% of net income, but faces extremely high short interest of 35%, a low asymmetry ratio, and its analyst target has essentially been reached, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Rule Of 40 Growth LeaderStable
  • Very High Short InterestImproving
  • Price At Analyst TargetImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NetSTREIT Corp. (NTST) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. At $19.64, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

NetSTREIT acquires and manages 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased to 129 tenants across 28 retail sectors in 45 states, generating $198.3 million in annualized base rent at 99.9% occupancy and a 10.1-year weighted average lease term as of December 31,... Read more

$19.64+6.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.67%
IncomeYield4.56%(5y avg 4.51%)Payout621.43%
Stop $18.94Target $20.87(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$23.18+18.0%19 analysts
$20.87our TP
$19.64price
$23.18mean
$25

Sell if holding. At $19.64, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NetSTREIT Corp.

About NetSTREIT Corp.

NetSTREIT owned 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased across 45 states to 129 tenants spanning 28 retail sectors, generating $198.3 million in annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025. The portfolio was 99.9% occupied with a weighted average remaining lease term of 10.1 years, and roughly 44% of ABR came from investment-grade credit rated tenants and an additional 14% from tenants with an investment-grade profile.

NetSTREIT's net-lease model requires tenants to maintain property insurance and liability coverage under triple-net or double-net structures. The company targets acquisition prices of $1 million to $10 million per property — averaging $3.7 million as of December 31, 2025 — a segment it believes attracts less competition from institutional buyers requiring larger asset sizes. Capital is deployed through five transaction types: stabilized lease acquisitions, blend-and-extend deals, mortgage loans, build-to-suit, and sale-leaseback transactions. Long-term leases carry initial 10-year terms with two or more five-year extension options. In 2025, NetSTREIT acquired 140 properties in 31 states for $603 million and sold 78 properties for $169.1 million specifically to improve portfolio diversification. The top five tenants — CVS, Dollar General, Food Lion/Stop & Shop, Home Depot, and Hobby Lobby — represent 4.8%, 4.7%, 4.3%, 3.8%, and 3.6% of ABR respectively, each well below the company's 5% single-tenant cap. Capital structure included approximately $1.1 billion across six senior unsecured term loans and a $500 million revolving credit facility.

Show full overview

Texas represents 17.3% of ABR as of year-end 2025, the single largest state concentration in the NetSTREIT portfolio. The South and Midwest U.S. Census Bureau regions account for 49.5% and 28.0% of ABR respectively. The 10-K notes that economic downturns, changes in state-specific tax or labor laws, or natural disasters in any concentrated region could adversely affect operating performance, and that future acquisitions could further increase these regional concentrations beyond current levels.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From NetSTREIT Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.2%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)140.3
P/E (Fwd)47.9
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE1.0%
Rev Growth26.9%
Beta0.80
Dividend4.56%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicTexas17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio included substantial holdings in Texas (17.3%), Illinois (8.3%), New York (6.9%), Georgia (5.0%), Wisconsin (4.9%), and North Carolina (4.0%) based on ABR as of December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouth region50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio holdings (based on ABR as of December 31, 2025) were located in the South (49.5%) and Midwest (28.0%) regions of the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicMidwest region28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio holdings (based on ABR as of December 31, 2025) were located in the South (49.5%) and Midwest (28.0%) regions of the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.4
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.46Resistance $20.66

Price Targets

$19
$21
A.Upside+6.2%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $19.64, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.94. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.87 (+6.2% upside). Prior stop was $18.94. Stop-loss: $18.94.

What are the risks of investing in NTST?

Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Negative momentum.

Is NTST overvalued or undervalued?

NetSTREIT Corp. trades at a P/E of 140.3 (forward 47.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NTST?

26 analysts cover NTST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does NetSTREIT Corp. do?NetSTREIT acquires and manages 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased to 129 tenants across 28...

NetSTREIT acquires and manages 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased to 129 tenants across 28 retail sectors in 45 states, generating $198.3 million in annualized base rent at 99.9% occupancy and a 10.1-year weighted average lease term as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from long-term net leases with approximately 44% of ABR from investment-grade tenants.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · AKR (Acadia Realty Trust) · PECO (Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In)
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