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NBBKNB Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.2·$20.40-2.16%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NB Bancorp combines industry-leading growth, a cheap forward multiple, and insider buying conviction with a solid earnings beat streak, though the stock has already run to its analyst price target, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Forward MultipleStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Insider Buying ConvictionStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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NB Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

NB Bancorp is the holding company for Needham Bank, a Massachusetts-chartered cooperative bank serving the Greater Boston metropolitan area plus expanded New Hampshire and New Jersey/Connecticut/Rhode Island markets following its November 2025 acquisition of Provident Bancorp... Read more

$20.40+5.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#70 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.32%Payout15.33%sustainable
Stop $19.40Target $21.50(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$23.00+12.7%2 analysts
$21.50our TP
$20.40price
$23.00mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NB Bancorp, Inc.

About NB Bancorp, Inc.

NB Bancorp's Needham Bank subsidiary held a total loan portfolio in which commercial real estate and multifamily loans made up $2.44 billion, or 40.7%, as of December 31, 2025, following the November 15, 2025 acquisition of Provident Bancorp and its BankProv subsidiary for $111.8 million in cash plus 5.9 million shares of common stock. The acquisition added roughly $1.40 billion in assets, extending Needham Bank's footprint from its core Greater Boston market into southern New Hampshire and adding a national mortgage warehouse lending platform. Needham Bank is regulated by the Massachusetts Commissioner of Banks and the Federal Reserve Board as its primary federal regulator, with FDIC deposit insurance.

Needham Bank earns net interest income by taking deposits and funding commercial real estate and multifamily loans (40.7% of the portfolio), one-to-four-family residential and home-equity loans (19.6%), commercial and industrial loans split across Small Business, Middle Market and Structured Finance divisions (16.8%), construction and land development loans (12.2%), mortgage warehouse loans acquired through Provident (4.7%), and consumer loans (3.4%). The bank's Structured Finance division serves larger commercial customers with more than $50 million in annual revenue across industries including cannabis-related entities and renewable energy, an area management describes as a competitive advantage due to specialized underwriting knowledge. Funding comes from core deposits supplemented by $196.2 million of FHLB advances and $535.7 million of brokered deposits at year-end 2025, and the bank has invested heavily in cash-management products to capture full commercial banking relationships from its Structured Finance and cannabis-related customer base.

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Needham Bank's commercial real estate and multifamily concentration of 40.7% of total loans, up from 39.1% a year earlier, sits well above the 30% threshold regulators typically flag as material CRE concentration risk, and the bank's own 10-K acknowledges the risk of geographic concentrations in its loan portfolios as a factor its lending diversification strategy is designed to address. With $535.7 million in brokered deposits and $196.2 million in FHLB advances supplementing core deposits as of December 31, 2025, Needham Bank's funding mix carries wholesale-reliance risk that could tighten alongside any CRE credit-quality deterioration in its concentrated Greater Boston and expanding New England markets.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From NB Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$922M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth36.3%
Beta0.04
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$15-26.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and multifamily loans41%
    10-K Item 1: 'At December 31, 2025, our total loan portfolio was comprised of $2.44 billion, or 40.7%, of commercial real estate and multifamily loans...'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02LOW
    On April 22, 2026 NB Bancorp's Board approved and adopted the NB Bancorp/Needham Bank Executive Annual Incentive Plan, effective January 1, 2026, providing senior executives cash incentive awards based on Compensation Committee-set performance goals. Routine compensation-plan adoption.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Macd
3.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.93Resistance $21.94

Price Targets

$19
$22
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NBBK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $21.50 (+5.4%), stop $19.40 (−5.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.50 (+5.4% upside). Target $21.50 (+5.4%), stop $19.40 (−5.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $19.40.

What are the risks of investing in NBBK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is NBBK overvalued or undervalued?

NB Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NBBK?

8 analysts cover NBBK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $23.

What does NB Bancorp, Inc. do?NB Bancorp is the holding company for Needham Bank, a Massachusetts-chartered cooperative bank serving the Greater...

NB Bancorp is the holding company for Needham Bank, a Massachusetts-chartered cooperative bank serving the Greater Boston metropolitan area plus expanded New Hampshire and New Jersey/Connecticut/Rhode Island markets following its November 2025 acquisition of Provident Bancorp and BankProv. The bank funds commercial real estate, residential, commercial and industrial, mortgage warehouse and consumer loans through retail deposits, with commercial real estate and multifamily loans representing 40.7% of its total loan portfolio at December 31, 2025. Needham Bank also operates specialized lending d

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