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NBBKNB Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.5·$22.46
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NB Bancorp combines industry-leading growth, a cheap forward multiple, and insider buying conviction with a solid earnings beat streak, though the stock has already run to its analyst price target, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Forward Multiple→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth Leadership→Stable
  • Insider Buying Conviction→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NB Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

NB Bancorp is the holding company for Needham Bank, a Massachusetts-chartered cooperative bank serving the Greater Boston metropolitan area plus expanded New Hampshire and New Jersey/Connecticut/Rhode Island markets following its November 2025 acquisition of Provident Bancorp... Read more

$22.46-5.4% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#32 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.24%Payout18.30%sustainable
Stop $21.28Analyst target $21.25(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$25.00+11.3%2 analysts
$22.46price
$25.00mean
$26

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NB Bancorp, Inc.

About NB Bancorp, Inc.

NB Bancorp's Needham Bank subsidiary held a total loan portfolio in which commercial real estate and multifamily loans made up $2.44 billion, or 40.7%, as of December 31, 2025, following the November 15, 2025 acquisition of Provident Bancorp and its BankProv subsidiary for $111.8 million in cash plus 5.9 million shares of common stock. The acquisition added roughly $1.40 billion in assets, extending Needham Bank's footprint from its core Greater Boston market into southern New Hampshire and adding a national mortgage warehouse lending platform. Needham Bank is regulated by the Massachusetts Commissioner of Banks and the Federal Reserve Board as its primary federal regulator, with FDIC deposit insurance.

Needham Bank earns net interest income by taking deposits and funding commercial real estate and multifamily loans (40.7% of the portfolio), one-to-four-family residential and home-equity loans (19.6%), commercial and industrial loans split across Small Business, Middle Market and Structured Finance divisions (16.8%), construction and land development loans (12.2%), mortgage warehouse loans acquired through Provident (4.7%), and consumer loans (3.4%). The bank's Structured Finance division serves larger commercial customers with more than $50 million in annual revenue across industries including cannabis-related entities and renewable energy, an area management describes as a competitive advantage due to specialized underwriting knowledge. Funding comes from core deposits supplemented by $196.2 million of FHLB advances and $535.7 million of brokered deposits at year-end 2025, and the bank has invested heavily in cash-management products to capture full commercial banking relationships from its Structured Finance and cannabis-related customer base.

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Needham Bank's commercial real estate and multifamily concentration of 40.7% of total loans, up from 39.1% a year earlier, sits well above the 30% threshold regulators typically flag as material CRE concentration risk, and the bank's own 10-K acknowledges the risk of geographic concentrations in its loan portfolios as a factor its lending diversification strategy is designed to address. With $535.7 million in brokered deposits and $196.2 million in FHLB advances supplementing core deposits as of December 31, 2025, Needham Bank's funding mix carries wholesale-reliance risk that could tighten alongside any CRE credit-quality deterioration in its concentrated Greater Boston and expanding New England markets.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From NB Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202784d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.5
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$987M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn24.4%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth49.6%
Beta0.00
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C14.07bearish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and multifamily loans41%
    10-K Item 1: 'At December 31, 2025, our total loan portfolio was comprised of $2.44 billion, or 40.7%, of commercial real estate and multifamily loans...'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02LOW
    On April 22, 2026 NB Bancorp's Board approved and adopted the NB Bancorp/Needham Bank Executive Annual Incentive Plan, effective January 1, 2026, providing senior executives cash incentive awards based on Compensation Committee-set performance goals. Routine compensation-plan adoption.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.17Resistance $23.22

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.4%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NBBK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $21.25 reached (−5.4%), stop $21.28 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NBBK stock price target?

Analyst target $21.25 reached (−5.4% from $22.46); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $21.25 reached (−5.4%), stop $21.28 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $21.28.

What are the risks of investing in NBBK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is NBBK overvalued or undervalued?

NB Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NBBK?

8 analysts cover NBBK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $25.

What does NB Bancorp, Inc. do?NB Bancorp is the holding company for Needham Bank, a Massachusetts-chartered cooperative bank serving the Greater...

NB Bancorp is the holding company for Needham Bank, a Massachusetts-chartered cooperative bank serving the Greater Boston metropolitan area plus expanded New Hampshire and New Jersey/Connecticut/Rhode Island markets following its November 2025 acquisition of Provident Bancorp and BankProv. The bank funds commercial real estate, residential, commercial and industrial, mortgage warehouse and consumer loans through retail deposits, with commercial real estate and multifamily loans representing 40.7% of its total loan portfolio at December 31, 2025. Needham Bank also operates specialized lending d

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