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MHMcGraw Hill, Inc.Sell4.8·$10.79-8.21%
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McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.79: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides education solutions for K-12, higher education, and professional learning in the United States and internationally. It operates through K-12, Higher Education, Global Professional, and International segments. The K-12... Read more

$10.79+49.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#13 of 15 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield13.43%
Stop $10.46Target $16.17(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$18.58+72.2%12 analysts
$16.17our TP
$10.79price
$18.58mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.79: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — McGraw Hill, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)61.9
P/E (Fwd)5.9
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth-2.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
4.4

Volatile — 7.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
1.3
Days To Cover
2.0
Short Interest
3.6

Revenue shrinking — -2.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Macd
3.1
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.78Resistance $13.19

Price Targets

$10
$16
A.Upside+49.9%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.79: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $10.46. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.17 (+49.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.46. Stop-loss: $10.46.

What are the risks of investing in MH?

Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0).

Is MH overvalued or undervalued?

McGraw Hill, Inc. trades at a P/E of 61.9 (forward 5.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MH?

21 analysts cover MH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $19.

What does McGraw Hill, Inc. do?McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides education solutions for K-12, higher education, and...

McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides education solutions for K-12, higher education, and professional learning in the United States and internationally. It operates through K-12, Higher Education, Global Professional, and International segments. The K-12 segment provides core, supplemental, and intervention curricula to support the needs of the K-12 schools. This segment also sells blended digital and print learning solutions directly to school districts across the United States. The Higher Education segment offers students, instructors, and institutions with adaptive digital learning solutions and content, and instructional materials. Its solutions are used by students enrolled in non-profit colleges and universities, as well as for-profit institutions. This segment sells its higher education solutions to online retailers and distribution partners, as well as directly to student through its proprietary e-commerce platform. The Global Professional segment provides students, institutions, and professionals with comprehensive medical and engineering learning solutions. This segment sells digital learning solutions and print materials accessible through a range of mediums. The International segment offers digital and print solutions in approximately 100 countries and 80 languages outside of the United States. The company was formerly known as Mav Holding Corporation and changed its name to McGraw Hill, Inc. in October 2022. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. McGraw Hill, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Pe Mav Holdings, Llc.

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