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MHMcGraw Hill, Inc.Sell5.5·$12.32+1.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

McGraw Hill presents an unusual combination of deeply depressed valuation and a three-quarter earnings-beat streak, yet a confirmed death cross, declining revenue, and a risk composite far below the minimum acceptable level mean the technical and risk profile fully overrides the fundamental appeal, keeping new capital on the sidelines.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Analyst GapImproving
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth.

McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher... Read more

$12.32+26.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#15 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield18.48%
Stop $11.63Target $15.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$17.92+45.4%12 analysts
$15.59our TP
$12.32price
$17.92mean
$24

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.1
P/E (Fwd)5.9
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
4.0
Value Rank
4.4

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.99Resistance $13.89

Price Targets

$12
$16
A.Upside+26.5%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.63. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.59 (+26.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.63. Stop-loss: $11.63.

What are the risks of investing in MH?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is MH overvalued or undervalued?

McGraw Hill, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 5.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MH?

21 analysts cover MH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.

What does McGraw Hill, Inc. do?McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional...

McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher Education (~42%), Global Professional (~7%), and International (~9%), with 26.7 million paid digital users.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · COUR (Coursera, Inc.) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.)
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