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LULUlululemon athletica inc.Buy Wait5.3·$116.65-1.78%
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lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Wait for pullback to $112.27. At $116.65 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $112.27 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Weak growth.

Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater possibility and wellbeing for all. Since our inception, we have fostered a distinctive corporate culture; we promote a set of core values in our business which... Read more

$116.65+8.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#11 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.41%
Entry $112.27(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $100.79Target $122.16(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$135.74+16.4%25 analysts
$122.16our TP
$116.65price
$135.74mean
$88
$280

Wait for pullback to $112.27. At $116.65 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $112.27 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.7 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.7) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=consumer cyclical 1/10). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Contrarian signal: extreme negativity (-0.78) on quality business
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.7%
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.6
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$13.5B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn13.0%
ROE32.0%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta0.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$60-48.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** _Appointment of Director_ On April 26, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of lululemon athletica inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 21, 2026, lululemon athletica inc. entered into an employment agreement with Heidi O'Neill whereby it agreed to appoint Ms.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Director On March 13, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of lululemon athletica inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.6

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
7.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Consumer Cyclical 1/10Suitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $109.36Resistance $136.14

Price Targets

$101
$112
$122
A.Upside+4.7%
A.R:R0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 2.7 < 4.5 minimum
! R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.7) - hard block

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LULU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $112.27. At $116.65 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $112.27 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.7 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.7) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $122.16 (+4.7%), stop $100.79 (−15.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LULU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $122.16 (+8.8% upside). Target $122.16 (+4.7%), stop $100.79 (−15.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $100.79.

What are the risks of investing in LULU?

Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is LULU overvalued or undervalued?

lululemon athletica inc. trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LULU?

39 analysts cover LULU with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $136.

What does lululemon athletica inc. do?Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater...

Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater possibility and wellbeing for all. Since our inception, we have fostered a distinctive corporate culture; we promote a set of core values in our business which include taking personal responsibility, acting with courage, valuing connection and inclusion, and choosing to have fun.

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