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KGCKinross Gold CorporationBuy Wait7.0·$27.25+6.53%
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Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $26.71. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $27.25. Engine's entry $26.71 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing... Read more

$27.25+34.8% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#6 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.32%
IncomeYield0.57%(5y avg 1.80%)Payout5.74%sustainable
Entry $26.71(Gap Fill 50 Sticky)Stop $23.86Target $35.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1Setup A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$40.91+50.1%11 analysts
$35.59our TP
$27.25price
$40.91mean
$10
$56

Wait for pullback to $26.71. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $27.25. Engine's entry $26.71 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
High-quality business
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn36.0%
ROE35.5%
Rev Growth60.8%
Beta1.35
Dividend0.57%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
1.3
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
5.9
Quality Rank
7.5
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.52Resistance $30.46

Price Targets

$24
$27
$36
A.Upside+30.6%
A.R:R2.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KGC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $26.71. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $27.25. Engine's entry $26.71 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Target $35.59 (+30.6%), stop $23.86 (−14.2%), Setup A.R:R 5.0:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.59 (+34.8% upside). Target $35.59 (+30.6%), stop $23.86 (−14.2%), Setup A.R:R 5.0:1. Stop-loss: $23.86.

What are the risks of investing in KGC?

Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is KGC overvalued or undervalued?

Kinross Gold Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KGC?

15 analysts cover KGC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Kinross Gold Corporation do?Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of...

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.)
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