John B. Sanfilippo & Son has strung together a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak and screens as attractively valued, but the stock has already reached its price target near a 52-week high, leaving an unfavorable stated risk/reward, an overbought technical setup, and a lingering earnings-quality gap.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation→Stable
- Overbought Near 52 Week High→Stable
- Earnings Quality Cash Conversion Gap→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-08Recent Developments — John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Freedom Broker Initiates Coverage On John B Sanfilippo & Son with Hold Rating, Announces Price Target of $95 — benzinga Jun 30, 2026
Generated 2026-07-08T23:03:58Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerWalmart Inc.40%10-K Item 1: 'Net sales to Walmart Inc. accounted for approximately 40% of our net sales for fiscal 2025, 39% of our net sales for fiscal 2024 and 36% of our net sales for fiscal 2023.'
- LOWCustomerTarget Corporation11%10-K Item 1: 'Net sales to Target Corporation accounted for approximately 11% of our net sales for fiscal 2025, 13% of our net sales for fiscal 2024 and 15% of our net sales for fiscal 2023.'
- MEDIUMCommodityforeign-sourced nuts and dried fruit28%10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2025, approximately 28% of the dollar value of our total nut and dried fruit purchases was from foreign sources.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $86.70 (+0.0%), stop $81.75 (−6.0%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $86.70 (0.0% upside). Target $86.70 (+0.0%), stop $81.75 (−6.0%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $81.75.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth.
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
8 analysts cover JBSS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $102.
What does John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. do?John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and...
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia nuts, pistachios, pine nuts, Brazil nuts, and filberts in various styles and seasonings; and bar product line, including chewy granola, fruit and grain, sweet and salty, dipped chewy granola, crunchy, energy, fiber, and nut bars. It also offers peanut butter in various sizes and varieties; salad toppings, dried fruit, and chocolate and yogurt coated products; recipe ingredients; bulk food products; sunflower kernels, pepitas, snack mixes, almond and cashew butter, candy and confections, corn snacks, chickpea snacks, sesame sticks, and other sesame snack and baked cheese snack products; and various toppings for ice cream and yogurt. In addition, the company operates a retail store. The company provides its products under the Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, Southern Style Nuts, and Just the Cheese brands as well as under various private brands. It serves retailers and wholesalers, and commercial ingredient and contract packaging customers through a network of independent brokers, distributors, and suppliers. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Elgin, Illinois.