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JBLJabil Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$389.87+1.31%
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Jabil Inc. (JBL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Earnings in 2 days (2026-06-17). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $342.69. BUY gates pass at $389.87, but concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%) and concentration risk — Geographic: China argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $342.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Jabil is a global manufacturing solutions provider offering engineering, production, and supply chain services across three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce. With $29.8B in fiscal 2025 net revenues, it serves... Read more

$389.87+14.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.96%
IncomeYield0.08%(5y avg 0.33%)Payout4.31%sustainable
Entry $342.69(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $307.95Target $390.91(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$358.89-7.9%9 analysts
$390.91our TP
$389.87price
$358.89mean
$287
$425

Wait for pullback to $342.69. BUY gates pass at $389.87, but concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%) and concentration risk — Geographic: China argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $342.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jun 17, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: China
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.8
P/E (Fwd)26.1
Mkt Cap$40.6B
EV/EBITDA18.2
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE59.7%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.08%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.48bearish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$510+30.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerCustomer A16%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer A (1) ... 16 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers36%
    10-K Item 1: 'our five largest customers accounted for approximately 36% of our net revenue'
  • HIGHGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our manufacturing, design, support and storage operations are conducted in our facilities in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $321.92Resistance $398.89

Price Targets

$308
$343
$391
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-1.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.8% upside)
! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-17 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $342.69. BUY gates pass at $389.87, but concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%) and concentration risk — Geographic: China argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $342.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $390.91 (+0.3%), stop $307.95 (−26.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $390.91 (+14.0% upside). Target $390.91 (+0.3%), stop $307.95 (−26.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $307.95.

What are the risks of investing in JBL?

Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is JBL overvalued or undervalued?

Jabil Inc. trades at a P/E of 51.8 (forward 26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about JBL?

17 analysts cover JBL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $359.

What does Jabil Inc. do?Jabil is a global manufacturing solutions provider offering engineering, production, and supply chain services across...

Jabil is a global manufacturing solutions provider offering engineering, production, and supply chain services across three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce. With $29.8B in fiscal 2025 net revenues, it serves customers across healthcare, cloud/AI infrastructure, automotive, and consumer electronics in 100+ locations in 30 countries. Operations are concentrated in China, Malaysia, Mexico, and the United States.

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