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TELTE Connectivity plcBuy Wait6.2·$221.24
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TE Connectivity earns a wide economic moat designation, holds the maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters, and trades at an attractive price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.99 — though the stock is below its 200-day moving average and current upside to the analyst target is limited to approximately 9.7%.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Perfect Piotroski Score And Beats↑Improving
  • Positive Analyst Sentiment With Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 10, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Wait for pullback to $207.25. At $221.24 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $207.25 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical).... Read more

$221.24+2.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#8 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.64%
IncomeYield1.38%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout28.50%sustainable
Entry $207.25(support + ATR (held))Stop $198.49Target $227.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$252.32+14.0%19 analysts
$227.08our TP
$221.24price
$252.32mean
$306

Wait for pullback to $207.25. At $221.24 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $207.25 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$64.1B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE23.3%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta1.14
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$330+49.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive end market41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 41% of our net sales for fiscal 2025 were to customers in the automotive end market'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were made to customers in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $204.63Resistance $230.00

Price Targets

$198
$207
$227
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.6% upside)
! News modifier +1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $207.25. At $221.24 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $207.25 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $227.08 (+2.6%), stop $198.49 (−11.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $227.08 (+2.6% upside). Target $227.08 (+2.6%), stop $198.49 (−11.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $198.49.

What are the risks of investing in TEL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is TEL overvalued or undervalued?

TE Connectivity plc trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEL?

23 analysts cover TEL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $252.

What does TE Connectivity plc do?TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation...

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical). The company sells into approximately 130 countries, employs approximately 93,000 people, and generates about 75% of net sales through direct channels.

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